AFCON Qualification (World)

Angola or Draw — 75% confidence

Angola enter this home fixture undefeated in their recent competitive run, including a disciplined 0-0 draw away at Egypt and a 3-0 victory against Central African Republic. Malawi secured a 2-1 win at home to South Sudan but have struggled for victories on their travels, remaining winless in their last four away games. Angola also came out on top in the previous encounter between the sides, winning 1-0.

Under 2.5 Goals — 78% confidence

Angola held Egypt to a 0-0 draw in their opening group fixture and have recorded three clean sheets in their last four completed matches. Malawi have found goals hard to come by on the road, scoring only one goal across their last four away outings, which finished 1-1, 0-1, 0-1 and 0-0. Their solitary head-to-head meeting also produced a tight 1-0 scoreline.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Angola enter this home fixture undefeated in their recent competitive run, including a disciplined 0-0 draw away at Egypt and a 3-0 victory against Central African Republic. Malawi secured a 2-1 win at home to South Sudan but have struggled for victories on their travels, remaining winless in their last four away games. Angola also came out on top in the previous encounter between the sides, winning 1-0.

Both teams feature defensive patterns in recent fixtures. Angola have kept clean sheets against Egypt and Central African Republic, while failing to score in two 0-0 draws. Malawi failed to score in three of their last four away matches against Botswana, Ethiopia, and Zambia U23, making a game where at least one side fails to score a probable outcome.

Angola held Egypt to a 0-0 draw in their opening group fixture and have recorded three clean sheets in their last four completed matches. Malawi have found goals hard to come by on the road, scoring only one goal across their last four away outings, which finished 1-1, 0-1, 0-1 and 0-0. Their solitary head-to-head meeting also produced a tight 1-0 scoreline.

Under 2.5 Goals — 68% confidence

Eritrea have conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per game across their three qualification matches, keeping a clean sheet in their sole home fixture. South Africa have shown defensive discipline across their international outings, including recent low-scoring results such as a 1-0 win against South Korea and a 1-1 draw with Czechia. A closely fought contest with two or fewer total goals is likely.

South Africa or Draw — 74% confidence

South Africa secured an important 2-1 victory over Guinea in their group opener and possess the competitive experience to manage this away fixture. Although Eritrea are unbeaten in three matches after beating Eswatini twice and drawing with Kenya, South Africa represent a stiffer test. Backing South Africa to win or draw covers both a tight away victory and a competitive stalemate.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Eritrea have conceded an average of only 0.7 goals per game across their three qualification matches, keeping a clean sheet in their sole home fixture. South Africa have shown defensive discipline across their international outings, including recent low-scoring results such as a 1-0 win against South Korea and a 1-1 draw with Czechia. A closely fought contest with two or fewer total goals is likely.

South Africa secured an important 2-1 victory over Guinea in their group opener and possess the competitive experience to manage this away fixture. Although Eritrea are unbeaten in three matches after beating Eswatini twice and drawing with Kenya, South Africa represent a stiffer test. Backing South Africa to win or draw covers both a tight away victory and a competitive stalemate.

Eritrea have seen at least two goals scored in all three of their matches in 2026, recording scorelines of 2-0, 2-1, and 1-1 while averaging 1.7 goals scored per game. South Africa opened their qualifying group with a 2-1 victory over Guinea, extending a pattern where both teams regularly find the net in qualifying action. While the 2.5 line is less reliable given Eritrea conceded only twice across three games and South Africa have recorded several tight scorelines in recent internationals, the expectation for at least two total goals is robustly backed by both attacks consistently producing chances.

Ivory Coast carry an overwhelming competitive advantage heading into this fixture following their commanding 2-0 win over Ghana. Somalia have struggled offensively, managing only two goals in their last five fixtures and recording three goalless draws against Mauritius and Oman. The visitors' defensive strength, combined with Somalia's low attacking output, heavily favours an away win in a controlled, low-scoring contest.

Under 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence

While both teams saw four goals in their opening group fixtures, away matches for Mali in recent outings have tended to be much tighter, including a 0-0 draw against Russia and a 1-0 defeat to Senegal earlier in the year. Liberia will likely adopt a more conservative approach at home after their defensive lapses in Rwanda.

Mali or Draw — 75% confidence

Mali began their qualification group with a 3-1 win against Cape Verde Islands, spearheaded by a two-goal performance from N. Dorgeles. Liberia struggled in their opener, conceding three goals in a 3-1 defeat to Rwanda and collecting a red card. Mali have the tactical structure to secure at least a point away from home.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Mali began their qualification group with a 3-1 win against Cape Verde Islands, spearheaded by a two-goal performance from N. Dorgeles. Liberia struggled in their opener, conceding three goals in a 3-1 defeat to Rwanda and collecting a red card. Mali have the tactical structure to secure at least a point away from home.

While both teams saw four goals in their opening group fixtures, away matches for Mali in recent outings have tended to be much tighter, including a 0-0 draw against Russia and a 1-0 defeat to Senegal earlier in the year. Liberia will likely adopt a more conservative approach at home after their defensive lapses in Rwanda.

Cameroon enter this clash in stronger form after opening their qualification group with a 3-1 victory over Comoros, whereas Congo were beaten 1-0 by Namibia. Congo have struggled in front of goal, failing to score in multiple recent matches. Across five historical meetings between the sides, Cameroon have suffered defeat only once, making an away win or draw the most probable outcome in a typically low-scoring fixture.

Gabon have displayed consistent defensive vulnerabilities, conceding two or more goals in each of their last five recorded matches across all competitions, including their recent 2-0 loss to Morocco. Niger opened their qualification campaign with a 2-1 victory over Lesotho. Furthermore, the previous head-to-head meeting between these two nations saw seven total goals scored in a 4-3 Niger win, indicating that matchups involving these sides tend to produce attacking openings.

Benin have avoided defeat in four of their last five matches, including a 1-1 draw away to Burkina Faso in their opening group game and a 1-0 home victory over Liberia. Mauritania have shown capability with a 3-1 win over Central African Republic, but Benin on home soil typically keep fixtures tight, having previously beaten Mauritania 3-1 at home in their most recent head-to-head meeting.

Cape Verde Islands return home after a difficult away opener against Mali. Their recent fixtures on home territory include disciplined defensive displays, such as a 0-0 draw with Saudi Arabia. While Rwanda started their campaign well with a 3-1 home win against Liberia, their historical encounters with Cape Verde have been exceptionally tight, with both previous qualification clashes ending in 0-0 draws. Backing Cape Verde to win or draw covers the most likely outcomes in what should be a low-scoring encounter.

Uganda showed defensive resilience in their opening match by earning a 1-1 away draw against Tunisia. Libya have developed a persistent habit of sharing points, drawing each of their last four matches across all competitions, including a 2-2 outcome against Botswana and goalless results against Niger and Palestine. Furthermore, the sole head-to-head encounter between these two nations ended in a 0-0 draw. Backing Uganda to avoid defeat covers both the home advantage and Libya's strong tendency toward stalemates.

Nigeria possess a strong historical advantage in this matchup, having won three of the four previous meetings, including all three played at Guinea-Bissau without conceding a goal. While Guinea-Bissau started their qualifying campaign well with a 2-0 win over Tanzania, their earlier form saw them fail to score in three of their preceding four matches. Historical data between the teams indicates low goal totals, with past encounters averaging 1.25 goals and seeing under 2.5 goals in all four meetings. Backing Nigeria to avoid defeat aligns with their head-to-head dominance and recent match form.

Togo enter this contest in superior form, having gone unbeaten in their last five games with three wins and two draws, including an opening group win against Burundi. In contrast, Zambia have struggled defensively, failing to win any of their previous five matches and conceding three goals in their group opener against Algeria. Backing Togo to secure at least a point reflects the contrasting momentum of both sides.