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Tue 29 Sept · 20:00

Gabon vs Niger prediction

Round
Group Stage - 2
Venue
Stade de Franceville, Franceville
Referee
Issa Sy
Form

Recent form

Gabon
17Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference

Niger
37Poor

Last 4 matches · 1W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 66% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

66%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Gabon host Niger in the second round of AFCON Qualification group stage fixtures, with both teams coming off contrasting opening results. Gabon suffered a 2-0 defeat away to Morocco in their opener, continuing a difficult run of results where they have conceded at least two goals in five consecutive outings. Returning home provides them an opportunity to stabilise their campaign.

Niger enter the contest on the back of a 2-1 home victory over Lesotho, giving them an early positive start in the group. Their recent fixtures have shown competitive defensive resilience in lower-scoring ties before that opening win, though their last encounter with Gabon produced an unusually open contest.

Their sole previous meeting was a high-scoring friendly in June 2025 where Niger edged a 4-3 thriller. With Gabon searching for their first points and dealing with recent defensive issues, this matchup has the potential for chances at both ends.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Gabon have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions.
  2. Niger enter following a 2-1 victory over Lesotho in their opening group game.
  3. The sole head-to-head meeting between Gabon and Niger finished 4-3 in June 2025.
  4. Gabon have failed to keep a clean sheet in their recent sequence of fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Gabon at homeNiger away
—
Played
2
—
W-D-L
0-2-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
—
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—
Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1MoroccoPromotion - Africa Cup of Nations2+46
2GabonPromotion - Africa Cup of Nations203
3Niger2-13
4Lesotho2-30
History

Head-to-head

0
Gabon
0
Draws
1
Niger

Niger have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2025-06-06Gabon3-4Niger
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Confidence

Gabon have displayed consistent defensive vulnerabilities, conceding two or more goals in each of their last five recorded matches across all competitions, including their recent 2-0 loss to Morocco. Niger opened their qualification campaign with a 2-1 victory over Lesotho. Furthermore, the previous head-to-head meeting between these two nations saw seven total goals scored in a 4-3 Niger win, indicating that matchups involving these sides tend to produce attacking openings.

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Published September 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.