BetGenius
Round
Group Stage - 2
Venue
Hoima City Stadium, Hoima
Referee
Naby Laye Toure
Form

Recent form

Uganda
81Excellent

Last 3 matches · 2W-1D-0L · +3 goal difference

Libya
55Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-4D-0L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Uganda or Draw

BetGenius backs Uganda or Draw (Double Chance) at 71% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

71%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Uganda host Libya in the second round of AFCON Qualification group stage fixtures, with both sides entering the contest following draws in their respective opening matches.

Uganda secured an encouraging 1-1 draw away against Tunisia in their opener, deploying a structured 5-3-2 formation to earn a valuable point on the road. Prior home fixtures in their recent match history include a 1-1 draw with Tanzania and a 3-1 defeat to Nigeria.

Libya arrive on the back of a high-scoring 2-2 home draw against Botswana in their opening qualifying fixture. That result marked a fourth consecutive draw in all competitions for the Mediterranean Knights, following earlier stalemates against Liberia (2-2), Niger (0-0), and Palestine (0-0).

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Uganda opened their qualifying campaign with a solid 1-1 away draw against Tunisia.
  2. Libya have drawn each of their last four matches across all competitions, including stalemates against Botswana, Liberia, Niger, and Palestine.
  3. The only previous head-to-head meeting between Uganda and Libya finished in a 0-0 draw.
  4. Uganda utilised a disciplined 5-3-2 shape in their opening match, conceding only once away from home.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Uganda at homeLibya away
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Played
—
—
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
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BTTS (last 5)
40%
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Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
History

Head-to-head

0
Uganda
1
Draws
0
Libya

all 1 of the last meeting between these two ended level.

  • 2022-09-21Libya0-0Uganda
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Uganda or Draw
71%
Confidence

Uganda showed defensive resilience in their opening match by earning a 1-1 away draw against Tunisia. Libya have developed a persistent habit of sharing points, drawing each of their last four matches across all competitions, including a 2-2 outcome against Botswana and goalless results against Niger and Palestine. Furthermore, the sole head-to-head encounter between these two nations ended in a 0-0 draw. Backing Uganda to avoid defeat covers both the home advantage and Libya's strong tendency toward stalemates.

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Published September 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.