Under 2.5 Goals — 64% confidence
While both teams saw four goals in their opening group fixtures, away matches for Mali in recent outings have tended to be much tighter, including a 0-0 draw against Russia and a 1-0 defeat to Senegal earlier in the year. Liberia will likely adopt a more conservative approach at home after their defensive lapses in Rwanda.
Mali or Draw — 75% confidence
Mali began their qualification group with a 3-1 win against Cape Verde Islands, spearheaded by a two-goal performance from N. Dorgeles. Liberia struggled in their opener, conceding three goals in a 3-1 defeat to Rwanda and collecting a red card. Mali have the tactical structure to secure at least a point away from home.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.