BetGenius
Round
Group Stage - 2
Venue
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny, Abidjan
Referee
David Chinoko
Form

Recent form

Somalia
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · 0 goal difference

Ivory Coast
61Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Ivory Coast to win

BetGenius backs Ivory Coast to win (Match Winner) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

84%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Somalia host Ivory Coast in the second round of the Africa Cup of Nations qualification group stage. The hosts come into this match looking to bounce back after suffering a 2-1 away defeat to Gambia in their previous qualification fixture. Somalia have found goals difficult to come by across recent matches, failing to score in three of their last five outings.

Ivory Coast opened their qualification campaign in convincing fashion with a 2-0 home victory over Ghana. The Elephants demonstrated strong defensive solidity in that match while showing clinical finishing, highlighted by key contributions from midfielder F. Kessie.

Given the substantial disparity in recent competitive pedigree and defensive organisation, Ivory Coast enter this encounter as decisive favourites to take maximum points on their travels.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ivory Coast started their qualification campaign with a clean sheet and a 2-0 win over Ghana.
  2. Somalia have failed to score in three of their last four fixtures across all competitions.
  3. Four of Somalia's last five matches have produced under 2.5 total goals.
  4. Ivory Coast kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches, conceding only against Germany and Norway.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Somalia at homeIvory Coast away
1
Played
—
0-1-0
W-D-L
—
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Ivory Coast to win
84%
Confidence

Ivory Coast carry an overwhelming competitive advantage heading into this fixture following their commanding 2-0 win over Ghana. Somalia have struggled offensively, managing only two goals in their last five fixtures and recording three goalless draws against Mauritius and Oman. The visitors' defensive strength, combined with Somalia's low attacking output, heavily favours an away win in a controlled, low-scoring contest.

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Published September 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.