BetGenius
Round
Group Stage - 2
Venue
Estádio 24 de Setembro, Bissau
Referee
Mitiku Tewodros
Form

Recent form

Guinea-Bissau
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -5 goal difference

Nigeria
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Nigeria or Draw

BetGenius backs Nigeria or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Guinea-Bissau host Nigeria in the second round of AFCON Qualification Group Stage action, with both nations looking to build on opening match victories. Guinea-Bissau secured a 2-0 away win against Tanzania to start their campaign, while Nigeria picked up a 2-1 home victory against Madagascar.

Historical clashes between these two sides have consistently been low-scoring affairs. Nigeria have claimed victory in three of the four recorded head-to-head meetings, winning all three fixtures hosted by Guinea-Bissau by scorelines of 2-0, 1-0, and 1-0. Across all four previous encounters, neither side has seen a game finish with more than two total goals, and both teams have never scored in the same match.

Nigeria bring solid overall form into this clash, having won three of their last five matches across all competitions. Guinea-Bissau's victory over Tanzania ended a previous four-match winless run that included defeats to Ethiopia, Egypt, and Burkina Faso.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nigeria have won three of the four previous head-to-head meetings, keeping clean sheets in all three victories.
  2. All four historical encounters between these teams produced under 2.5 total goals, averaging 1.25 goals per game with a 0 percent both teams to score rate.
  3. Guinea-Bissau won their opening group match 2-0 away at Tanzania after enduring a four-game winless streak in which they failed to score three times.
  4. Nigeria have won three of their last five matches across all competitions, scoring two or more goals in four of those five fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Guinea-Bissau at homeNigeria away
—
Played
5
—
W-D-L
2-2-1
—
Scored /game
2
—
Conceded /game
1.4
—
Clean sheets
20%
—
Failed to score
0%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%
Players

Key players this season

Guinea-Bissau

  • Mama Baldé2G
  • Franculino Djú2G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

1
Guinea-Bissau
0
Draws
3
Nigeria

Nigeria have won 3 of the last 4 meetings, averaging 1.3 goals a game, only 0% went over 2.5.

  • 2024-01-22Guinea-Bissau0-1Nigeria
  • 2023-03-27Guinea-Bissau0-1Nigeria
  • 2023-03-24Nigeria0-1Guinea-Bissau
  • 2022-01-19Guinea-Bissau0-2Nigeria
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Nigeria or Draw
75%
Confidence

Nigeria possess a strong historical advantage in this matchup, having won three of the four previous meetings, including all three played at Guinea-Bissau without conceding a goal. While Guinea-Bissau started their qualifying campaign well with a 2-0 win over Tanzania, their earlier form saw them fail to score in three of their preceding four matches. Historical data between the teams indicates low goal totals, with past encounters averaging 1.25 goals and seeing under 2.5 goals in all four meetings. Backing Nigeria to avoid defeat aligns with their head-to-head dominance and recent match form.

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Published September 28, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.