Mirassol

Mirassol have avoided defeat in 12 of their 16 home fixtures in Serie A, including consecutive 2-0 victories against Internacional and Botafogo in recent weeks. Sao Paulo have struggled considerably away from home all season, suffering 10 losses across 15 away trips and scoring just 11 goals in the process. Combined with Mirassol's strong record in this specific fixture, where they have won the last two home meetings, backing the home side to earn at least a point represents the most measured reading of the data.

Mirassol enjoy a clear head‑to‑head advantage, having won both previous meetings and never been beaten by Internacional. Their home scoring rate (1.4) exceeds Internacional's away rate (1.0) and the visitors are missing several key players, which could blunt their attack. Although Mirassol have been inconsistent, the combination of home form and the injury list tilts the probability of at least a draw in their favour. The overall goal averages for both clubs sit around 2.2 per match, and the recent head‑to‑head games have produced under 2.5 goals in one‑third of the meetings, supporting an under‑2.5 outlook.

Bahia have maintained strong resilience at home, losing only two of their 14 Serie A matches in front of their supporters and averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Mirassol have struggled defensively on the road, failing to keep a clean sheet in all 14 away fixtures and losing eight times. Although Mirassol have shown competitive form recently, Bahia have failed to score in just one home game this campaign, giving them a significant advantage to secure at least a share of the points.

RB Bragantino have never lost to Mirassol at home across five previous encounters, taking three victories and two draws. Mirassol have struggled significantly on their travels this season, dropping eight of their 13 away league matches and conceding 21 goals. With Mirassol failing to keep a clean sheet away from home all season and head-to-head fixtures historically producing low scorelines averaging 1.9 goals per game, backing RB Bragantino to secure at least a point is well supported by the data.

Mirassol or Draw — 68% confidence

Mirassol have proven resilient on home soil, losing only four of their 13 home league games with five wins and four draws. Botafogo have lost seven of their 13 away fixtures in Serie A and have gone four league matches without a win. Backing Mirassol to avoid defeat reflects their competitive home record against an away side that has struggled for consistency on the road.

Yes — 72% confidence

Mirassol have managed just one clean sheet in 13 home league fixtures while scoring 17 goals. Botafogo have also struggled defensively on the road, conceding 23 goals in 13 away games with only one clean sheet, while averaging 1.3 goals scored per away game. With both teams showing consistent scoring ability and clear vulnerabilities at the back, both finding the net is strongly supported by the numbers.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Mirassol have managed just one clean sheet in 13 home league fixtures while scoring 17 goals. Botafogo have also struggled defensively on the road, conceding 23 goals in 13 away games with only one clean sheet, while averaging 1.3 goals scored per away game. With both teams showing consistent scoring ability and clear vulnerabilities at the back, both finding the net is strongly supported by the numbers.

Mirassol have proven resilient on home soil, losing only four of their 13 home league games with five wins and four draws. Botafogo have lost seven of their 13 away fixtures in Serie A and have gone four league matches without a win. Backing Mirassol to avoid defeat reflects their competitive home record against an away side that has struggled for consistency on the road.

Mirassol have avoided defeat in nine of their 13 home fixtures this season, accumulating five wins and four draws. In contrast, Vitoria have been completely unable to find a victory on the road, holding a 0-4-9 away record with a negative goal difference of minus 20. Furthermore, Vitoria travel without ten players through injury and unavailability, severely reducing their depth. Historical head-to-head encounters between the teams average just 1.67 goals per game, reinforcing expectations of a low-scoring contest where Mirassol should at minimum secure a point.

Coritiba come into this match in strong league form with three wins and a draw from their last four outings. In contrast, Mirassol have struggled away from home all season, claiming only one win in 12 road matches with eight losses and zero away clean sheets. Coritiba also took maximum points in the reverse fixture with a 1-0 away win, making them heavily favored to avoid defeat at home.

Flamengo hold an extensive advantage across table position, home dominance, and head-to-head history. Sitting second with 48 points and a plus-27 goal difference, they have won seven of 11 home matches and conceded just 0.7 goals per game in front of their fans. Mirassol sit 16th with seven away defeats in 11 outings and zero road clean sheets. Flamengo also dismantled Mirassol 5-1 in the reverse fixture just two weeks prior.

All three historical meetings between these two sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, averaging five goals per game including a 5-1 scoreline in August 2026 and a 3-3 draw in late 2025. Flamengo average two goals scored per home match, while Mirassol concede an average of 1.6 goals per away match and have conceded 37 league goals overall.

Flamengo have scored 48 league goals in 24 matches, maintaining a consistent home average of two goals per game with 22 scored in 11 outings. In their previous encounter with Mirassol, they scored five goals. Supported by Pedro with 15 goals and Samuel Lino with eight goals, the home side face a Mirassol defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet on the road in 11 attempts.

Palmeiras have been dominant at the top of the table with only two defeats in 12 away league fixtures, while Mirassol sit in the relegation zone and are without a win in their last five competitive outings. A double chance selection on Palmeiras covers potential resistance from the home side while remaining heavily supported by league form and historical head-to-head records.

Santos hold a strong historical home record against Mirassol, winning four and drawing one of their five home head-to-head meetings. In contrast, Mirassol have lost seven of their 10 away league fixtures this season and remain without a clean sheet on the road.