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Sun 23 Aug · 22:30

Santos vs Mirassol prediction

Round
Regular Season - 24
Venue
Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee
Edina Alves Batista, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Santos
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Mirassol
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Santos to win

BetGenius backs Santos to win (Match Winner) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Santos host Mirassol at the Vila Belmiro in a crucial bottom-half Serie A clash. Santos enter the round in 14th position on 25 points, looking to pull further away from the relegation zone. The hosts have demonstrated solid home consistency in this specific fixture, remaining unbeaten across five previous home meetings against Mirassol with four victories and one draw.

Mirassol sit 17th with 23 points, currently occupying a relegation spot. Their struggles have been exacerbated on the road, where they have managed just one victory in 10 away league fixtures, recording seven defeats while conceding 17 goals and failing to keep a clean sheet. In addition, the visitors face squad depth challenges with Denilson suspended and multiple fitness concerns including Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Edson Carioca.

With Santos spearheaded in attack by Gabriel Barbosa (8 goals) and Mirassol struggling for form away from home, the hosts hold a distinct tactical and psychological advantage heading into this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Santos are undefeated at home against Mirassol in head-to-head history (4 wins, 1 draw).
  2. Mirassol have lost 7 of their 10 away league games this season, earning only 5 points on the road.
  3. Mirassol have failed to register an away clean sheet in the league (0 in 10 matches).
  4. Mirassol will be missing suspended midfielder Denilson alongside injured players Jose Aldo, Negueba, and Edson Carioca.
  5. Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos' attack with 8 league goals.
Availability

Team news

Santos

  • Arthur MeloMuscle Injury
  • Gabriel BrazaoShoulder Injury
  • Vinicius LiraKnee Injury
  • Lucas VerissimoInjury
  • G. EscobarInactive

Mirassol

  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • Andre LuisYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Santos at homeMirassol away
15
Played
15
6-5-4
W-D-L
2-4-9
1.5
Scored /game
0.9
1.3
Conceded /game
1.5
20%
Clean sheets
0%
13%
Failed to score
40%
100%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Santos at home plus Mirassol away).

Players

Key players this season

Santos

  • Gabriel Barbosa15G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
6Atletico-MGPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+750
7BahiaPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+549
8SantosPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+245
9Sao PauloPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+142
10RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31+341
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
History

Head-to-head

3
Santos
4
Draws
2
Mirassol

Santos have won 3 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 78% of them.

  • 2026-03-11Mirassol2-2Santos
  • 2025-11-20Santos1-1Mirassol
  • 2025-07-19Mirassol3-0Santos
  • 2025-01-17Santos2-1Mirassol
  • 2024-10-12Santos3-2Mirassol
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Santos to win
64%
Confidence

Santos hold a strong historical home record against Mirassol, winning four and drawing one of their five home head-to-head meetings. In contrast, Mirassol have lost seven of their 10 away league fixtures this season and remain without a clean sheet on the road.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.