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Sun 13 Sept · 20:00

Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 27
Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Referee: Ramon Abatti Abel, Brazil

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Mirassol

66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Vitoria

43Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Mirassol or Draw

BetGenius backs Mirassol or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Mirassol host Vitoria in round 27 of Serie A, with both sides seeking crucial points at differing ends of the mid-table battle. Mirassol enter the fixture in 16th position on 28 points, having picked up a 2-1 away victory against Coritiba in their previous league outing. At home, Mirassol have proven competitive, securing five wins and four draws from 13 matches.

Vitoria sit 11th in the table with 32 points, largely sustained by a solid home record. However, their form on the road has been exceptionally poor throughout the campaign, failing to win any of their 13 away league fixtures with four draws and nine defeats. They have managed only eight goals on their travels while conceding 28.

With Vitoria contending with extensive squad absences across their defensive and midfield units, Mirassol have an ideal opportunity to capitalise on home advantage. Given both teams have struggled for consistent offensive output, a tightly contested encounter is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

Vitoria are winless away from home in Serie A this season, recording four draws and nine losses across 13 matches.
Mirassol have taken points from nine of their 13 home fixtures, posting five victories and four draws.
Vitoria have managed only eight goals in 13 away matches while conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Vitoria have ten players listed as unavailable or injured for this matchday.
The six historical meetings between the clubs average only 1.67 goals per match, with over 2.5 goals occurring in just 16.7% of them.

Availability

Team news

Mirassol

NeguebaKnee Injury
Jose AldoMuscle Injury

Andre LuisYellow Cards

Vitoria

BaralhasBroken Leg
CamutangaBroken Leg
DuduBack Injury
EduAchilles Tendon Injury
FabianoKnee Injury
Nathan MendesKnee Injury
RamonLeg Injury
RiccieliCalf Injury

ReneYellow Cards

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mirassol at homeVitoria away

Played

7-5-4

W-D-L

0-6-10

1.4

Scored /game

0.8

1.3

Conceded /game

2.1

19%

Clean sheets

13%

Failed to score

38%

20%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

20%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.2 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Vitoria away).

Players

Key players this season

Vitoria

ReneSuspended10G
Erick6A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
10	RB BragantinoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	+3	41
11	BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)	31	-4	39
12	Coritiba	31	-11	39
13	Vitoria	31	-11	37
14	Mirassol	31	-8	36
15	Vasco DA Gama	30	-7	35
16	Corinthians	31	-7	33
17	InternacionalRelegation - Serie B	31	-7	32

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Mirassol: 2
Draws: 3
Vitoria

Vitoria have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.7 goals a game, only 17% went over 2.5.

2026-03-22Vitoria1-0Mirassol
2025-11-29Vitoria2-0Mirassol
2025-07-26Mirassol1-1Vitoria
2023-09-01Vitoria0-0Mirassol
2023-05-19Mirassol2-0Vitoria

BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Mirassol or Draw

76%

Confidence

Mirassol have avoided defeat in nine of their 13 home fixtures this season, accumulating five wins and four draws. In contrast, Vitoria have been completely unable to find a victory on the road, holding a 0-4-9 away record with a negative goal difference of minus 20. Furthermore, Vitoria travel without ten players through injury and unavailability, severely reducing their depth. Historical head-to-head encounters between the teams average just 1.67 goals per game, reinforcing expectations of a low-scoring contest where Mirassol should at minimum secure a point.

Explore

Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Mirassol

Vitoria

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Vitoria

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Serie A

1 published market

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