BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Anderson Daronco, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Flamengo
77Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-2D-0L · +5 goal difference

Mirassol
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Flamengo to win

BetGenius backs Flamengo to win (Match Winner) at 82% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

82%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Flamengo welcome Mirassol to the Maracana sitting second in Serie A with 48 points from 24 matches and a goal difference of plus-27. The hosts have established strong domestic form, winning seven of their 11 home league fixtures and entering this contest on the back of a 3-0 home victory over Botafogo.

Mirassol occupy 16th position, level on 25 points with the relegation zone. Their away record has been problematic throughout the campaign, yielding just one victory and seven defeats in 11 road trips while failing to keep a single away clean sheet.

The sides met recently on 16 August 2026, when Flamengo secured an emphatic 5-1 away victory. With key attackers Pedro and Samuel Lino combining for 23 league goals, Flamengo hold a distinct offensive advantage against a side conceding 1.6 goals per game on their travels.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Flamengo sit second in Serie A with 48 points and a plus-27 goal difference from 24 matches.
  2. Mirassol have lost seven of their 11 away league fixtures and have recorded zero away clean sheets.
  3. Flamengo won the reverse fixture 5-1 away from home on 16 August 2026.
  4. Flamengo score an average of 2.0 goals per home match, finding the net 22 times in 11 home games.
  5. Mirassol are without suspended midfielder Wallisson alongside injured players Edson Carioca, Jose Aldo, and Negueba.
Availability

Team news

Flamengo

  • Ayrton LucasThigh Injury
  • Evertton AraujoThigh Injury
  • G. de ArrascaetaWrist Injury
  • DaniloInactive
  • S. NiguezInactive

Team news last updated Oct 18 (6 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Mirassol

  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • Andre LuisYellow Cards
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Flamengo at homeMirassol away
5
Played
15
4-1-0
W-D-L
2-4-9
2.2
Scored /game
0.9
0.6
Conceded /game
1.5
40%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
20%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Flamengo at home plus Mirassol away).

Players

Key players this season

Flamengo

  • Pedro16G · 6A
  • Samuel Lino9G · 8A
  • J. Carrascal8A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
History

Head-to-head

2
Flamengo
1
Draws
0
Mirassol

Flamengo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings.

  • 2026-08-16Mirassol1-5Flamengo
  • 2025-12-06Mirassol3-3Flamengo
  • 2025-08-09Flamengo2-1Mirassol
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Match Winner
Flamengo to win
82%
Confidence

Flamengo hold an extensive advantage across table position, home dominance, and head-to-head history. Sitting second with 48 points and a plus-27 goal difference, they have won seven of 11 home matches and conceded just 0.7 goals per game in front of their fans. Mirassol sit 16th with seven away defeats in 11 outings and zero road clean sheets. Flamengo also dismantled Mirassol 5-1 in the reverse fixture just two weeks prior.

FeaturedLOST
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

All three historical meetings between these two sides have surpassed the 2.5 goal mark, averaging five goals per game including a 5-1 scoreline in August 2026 and a 3-3 draw in late 2025. Flamengo average two goals scored per home match, while Mirassol concede an average of 1.6 goals per away match and have conceded 37 league goals overall.

FeaturedWON
Team Total Goals
Flamengo Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Confidence

Flamengo have scored 48 league goals in 24 matches, maintaining a consistent home average of two goals per game with 22 scored in 11 outings. In their previous encounter with Mirassol, they scored five goals. Supported by Pedro with 15 goals and Samuel Lino with eight goals, the home side face a Mirassol defence that has failed to keep a clean sheet on the road in 11 attempts.

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Published September 1, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.