BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 25
Venue
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Referee
Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil
Form

Recent form

Mirassol
66Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Palmeiras
70Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Palmeiras or Draw

BetGenius backs Palmeiras or Draw (Double Chance) at 84% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

84%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Mirassol host league leaders Palmeiras in round 25 of the Brazilian Serie A, with both clubs operating at opposite ends of the standings. Mirassol enter this fixture in 17th position with 24 points from 23 matches, situated inside the relegation zone and winless across their last five fixtures in all competitions. Their defensive record remains a concern, having conceded 36 goals in 23 league matches while managing just a single clean sheet all season.

Palmeiras, in contrast, sit atop the table with 51 points and a +24 goal difference from 24 games. The league leaders boast an impressive away record, claiming seven wins and three draws from 12 road fixtures while conceding only 11 times. Backed by the offensive contributions of J. López (eight goals, four assists) and playmaker Andreas Pereira (10 assists), Palmeiras enter on a three-match winning streak across all competitions.

Historically, Palmeiras have held the advantage in this matchup, winning six of the previous nine meetings between the sides, including 1-0 victories in both Serie A and the Paulista championship earlier in 2026. Mirassol's home record of five wins in 12 matches offers some resilience, but the contrasting form and defensive solidity firmly favor the visitors.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Palmeiras hold the best away record in the division with 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats in 12 matches.
  2. Mirassol have managed just 1 clean sheet in 23 league matches, conceding 36 goals overall.
  3. Palmeiras have won 6 of the last 9 meetings against Mirassol, including both head-to-head fixtures in 2026 by 1-0 scorelines.
  4. Mirassol are missing key personnel through injury and suspension, including Wallisson (red card) and Negueba (knee injury).
Availability

Team news

Mirassol

  • NeguebaKnee Injury
  • Jose AldoMuscle Injury
  • Andre LuisYellow Cards

Palmeiras

  • JefteKnee Injury
  • Andreas PereiraRed Card
  • J. PiquerezYellow Cards
  • Vitor RoqueInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mirassol at homePalmeiras away
16
Played
16
7-5-4
W-D-L
8-6-2
1.4
Scored /game
1.6
1.3
Conceded /game
0.8
19%
Clean sheets
50%
13%
Failed to score
19%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Mirassol at home plus Palmeiras away).

Players

Key players this season

Palmeiras

  • Andreas PereiraSuspended10A
  • J. López5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FlamengoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3667
2PalmeirasPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+3266
3Atletico ParanaensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+1253
4CruzeiroPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)31+451
5FluminensePromotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)31+1051
11BotafogoPromotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)31-439
12Coritiba31-1139
13Vitoria31-1137
14Mirassol31-836
15Vasco DA Gama30-735
16Corinthians31-733
17InternacionalRelegation - Serie B31-732
History

Head-to-head

2
Mirassol
2
Draws
6
Palmeiras

Palmeiras have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.7 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-08-30Mirassol1-1Palmeiras
  • 2026-03-15Palmeiras1-0Mirassol
  • 2026-01-17Palmeiras1-0Mirassol
  • 2025-11-09Mirassol2-1Palmeiras
  • 2025-07-16Palmeiras1-1Mirassol
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

62%95 won from 153 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Confidence

Palmeiras have been dominant at the top of the table with only two defeats in 12 away league fixtures, while Mirassol sit in the relegation zone and are without a win in their last five competitive outings. A double chance selection on Palmeiras covers potential resistance from the home side while remaining heavily supported by league form and historical head-to-head records.

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Published August 29, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.