Veikkausliiga (Finland)

PK-35 or FF Jaro — 68% confidence

FF Jaro’s away record (1‑3‑10) shows they rarely draw, and PK‑35’s recent matches contain only one draw in five games. With both sides more likely to produce a win or loss than a stalemate, a no‑draw outcome (home win or away win) is the most supported result.

Under 2.5 Goals — 62% confidence

Jaro average just 0.4 goals per away game while PK‑35 have scored around 1.4 per match in their last five. Combined expected scoring is below the league average of 2.58 goals per game, making an under‑2.5‑goals result the more probable scenario.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Jaro average just 0.4 goals per away game while PK‑35 have scored around 1.4 per match in their last five. Combined expected scoring is below the league average of 2.58 goals per game, making an under‑2.5‑goals result the more probable scenario.

FF Jaro’s away record (1‑3‑10) shows they rarely draw, and PK‑35’s recent matches contain only one draw in five games. With both sides more likely to produce a win or loss than a stalemate, a no‑draw outcome (home win or away win) is the most supported result.

KuPS have lost only two of their 13 home league matches this season and hold a dominant record against VPS, having won six and drawn three of their last ten meetings. VPS have dropped six of their 13 away fixtures and failed to score when these two teams met in September. While KuPS have suffered a dip in their last few outings, covering the home win alongside the draw reflects their superior season-long metrics and strong historical record in this matchup.

KuPS or Draw — 76% confidence

KuPS have been exceptionally difficult to beat at home, suffering only one defeat in twelve league fixtures while winning six. They also boast five wins from six previous home meetings against AC Oulu. In contrast, Oulu enter this encounter on a three-match losing streak and have lost six of their twelve away games in the league.

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

All five of KuPS's last five matches across all competitions have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, and 1-0. Similarly, four of AC Oulu's last five games have produced two goals or fewer, largely driven by an attack that has been shut out in three of their last four outings.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

All five of KuPS's last five matches across all competitions have stayed under 2.5 goals, with scorelines of 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, and 1-0. Similarly, four of AC Oulu's last five games have produced two goals or fewer, largely driven by an attack that has been shut out in three of their last four outings.

KuPS have been exceptionally difficult to beat at home, suffering only one defeat in twelve league fixtures while winning six. They also boast five wins from six previous home meetings against AC Oulu. In contrast, Oulu enter this encounter on a three-match losing streak and have lost six of their twelve away games in the league.

AC Oulu have scored only one goal across their last four matches, failing to register against SJK, VPS, and Inter Turku. KuPS have kept eight clean sheets this season and have conceded only 24 goals in 25 league fixtures, making a clean sheet for at least one side a strong possibility.

KuPS have shown consistent scoring output at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match and scoring 21 goals in 12 home fixtures. AC Oulu concede an average of 1.4 goals per away game, having shipped 17 goals across 12 away fixtures. Across their last ten head-to-head clashes, the sides have averaged 3.1 goals per game, with eight of those ten matches producing at least two goals. While both teams have had several tight scorelines in recent weeks that make reaching three or more goals less dependable, the combined profile of KuPS at home and Oulu on the road strongly indicates that at least two goals will be scored.

HJK Helsinki have scored 20 goals in 12 home matches this season, an average of 1.7 goals per game, while conceding 1.3 per match at home. That baseline makes at least two goals highly probable when they play in front of their own supporters. However, VPS have seen a dip in attacking output recently, failing to score in four of their last five matches and seeing each of those five games finish under 2.5 goals. While the head-to-head history is productive, with 8 of their last 10 meetings producing two or more goals, VPS's recent low-scoring form makes a third goal harder to back with high confidence compared to the clear case for over 1.5 goals.

HJK Helsinki have shown consistent form on home turf with seven wins and two draws from 12 matches, scoring 20 goals in the process. VPS have suffered three defeats in their last four league games and failed to score in four of their last five overall fixtures, making a home positive result the most probable outcome.

Inter Turku have suffered just three defeats in 25 league fixtures this season and only two losses in 13 away matches. Their defensive record is the strongest in the division with just 18 goals conceded and 13 clean sheets overall. While Gnistan have performed well in previous head-to-head league meetings this season, Inter Turku's high level of consistency and recent run of four wins from five games make them well positioned to secure at least a draw.

KuPS have lost just twice in twelve away league matches this season, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on the road. In addition, head-to-head history is strongly in their favor, having avoided defeat in nine of their last ten encounters with VPS. Given VPS have recorded three losses in their last six home matches, backing KuPS to secure at least a point offers strong probability coverage.

Ilves hold a commanding psychological advantage in this fixture, having won all 10 of their previous 10 head-to-head encounters against Turku PS, including a 3-1 win at this ground in July 2026 and two 1-0 victories earlier in the year. Although Turku PS have been resilient at home with seven wins from 12 games, their recent scoring form has dropped significantly, failing to score in three of their last four matches. Backing Ilves to take at least a point covers both their fixture dominance and Turku PS's recent lack of cutting edge.

Eight of the last ten meetings between Gnistan and HJK Helsinki have produced three or more goals, yielding a high average of 3.6 goals per game across that sample. Gnistan's home fixtures average 3.3 total goals per game, with the hosts scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 on average. Combined with HJK scoring 1.6 goals per away match, the statistical profile points towards a game featuring at least three total goals.

Inter Turku bring strong away form into this fixture, having avoided defeat in 10 of their 12 road matches this season with six wins and four draws. They have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals per match across the campaign and possess high motivation sitting one point off top spot. In contrast, AC Oulu have lost three of their last five games and managed only one victory in that span. Having already defeated AC Oulu 3-2 away from home in August 2026 and remaining unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters, Inter Turku are well positioned to secure at least a draw.

SJK have avoided defeat in six of their 11 home matches this season and are coming into this fixture on a three-match unbeaten run of draws. While Mariehamn have won four of their last five matches overall, their away form throughout the campaign has been poor, resulting in ten losses from 12 road games with 28 goals conceded. SJK have also historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including a convincing 3-0 home victory against Mariehamn in April.

Lahti to win — 75% confidence

Lahti bring strong momentum into this clash with three straight league victories and a solid home record of six wins from 12 games. In contrast, FF Jaro have lost ten of their 12 away fixtures without securing a single win on the road. With Lahti also having won both league meetings between these two sides this season without conceding, the home side possess a decisive advantage across all key performance metrics.

No — 68% confidence

FF Jaro have experienced severe offensive difficulties on their travels, failing to score in nine of their 12 away matches and averaging only 0.3 goals scored per away game. Lahti have kept nine clean sheets overall this season and shut out FF Jaro in both prior 2026 meetings (2-0 and 1-0), making it probable that at least one side fails to find the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (match winner and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

FF Jaro have experienced severe offensive difficulties on their travels, failing to score in nine of their 12 away matches and averaging only 0.3 goals scored per away game. Lahti have kept nine clean sheets overall this season and shut out FF Jaro in both prior 2026 meetings (2-0 and 1-0), making it probable that at least one side fails to find the net.

Lahti bring strong momentum into this clash with three straight league victories and a solid home record of six wins from 12 games. In contrast, FF Jaro have lost ten of their 12 away fixtures without securing a single win on the road. With Lahti also having won both league meetings between these two sides this season without conceding, the home side possess a decisive advantage across all key performance metrics.