HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki have scored 20 goals in 12 home matches this season, an average of 1.7 goals per game, while conceding 1.3 per match at home. That baseline makes at least two goals highly probable when they play in front of their own supporters. However, VPS have seen a dip in attacking output recently, failing to score in four of their last five matches and seeing each of those five games finish under 2.5 goals. While the head-to-head history is productive, with 8 of their last 10 meetings producing two or more goals, VPS's recent low-scoring form makes a third goal harder to back with high confidence compared to the clear case for over 1.5 goals.

HJK Helsinki have shown consistent form on home turf with seven wins and two draws from 12 matches, scoring 20 goals in the process. VPS have suffered three defeats in their last four league games and failed to score in four of their last five overall fixtures, making a home positive result the most probable outcome.

Eight of the last ten meetings between Gnistan and HJK Helsinki have produced three or more goals, yielding a high average of 3.6 goals per game across that sample. Gnistan's home fixtures average 3.3 total goals per game, with the hosts scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 on average. Combined with HJK scoring 1.6 goals per away match, the statistical profile points towards a game featuring at least three total goals.

KuPS have been extremely tough to beat on their own patch this season, losing just one of their 11 home league fixtures. HJK Helsinki have already dropped points in six of their 11 away matches, losing four. Furthermore, KuPS have dominated recent encounters between the sides, remaining unbeaten in four consecutive home meetings against HJK and claiming a 4-0 away win in June. Backing KuPS to take at least a point covers both the home win and the draw outcomes.

Inter Turku have lost only twice in 22 Veikkausliiga matches this season and have suffered just one defeat in 11 away league fixtures. They also hold a resilient recent record against HJK, having avoided defeat in eight of their last ten head-to-head encounters across all competitions, including three draws and a win in four matches played at HJK. Backing Inter Turku on the double chance covers both the away victory and the draw, which has occurred six times in the last ten meetings between these sides.

Both teams have demonstrated reliable scoring consistency across the season, with Ilves scoring 16 goals in 10 home matches (1.6 per game) and HJK scoring 16 goals in 10 away fixtures (1.6 per game). Furthermore, the head-to-head record between these two clubs shows both teams scoring in seven of the nine matches on record, supporting expectations that each side will find the net.

HJK Helsinki hold a strong home record with six wins from ten games and have dominated the head-to-head matchup in 2026, defeating Gnistan in all three encounters this calendar year by multi-goal margins.