BetGenius
Full time
0-3
Sat 19 Sept · 13:00

Turku PS vs Ilves prediction

Round
Relegation Group - 25
Venue
Veritas Stadion, Turku
Referee
Kalle Nummela, Finland
Form

Recent form

Turku PS
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Ilves
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Ilves or Draw

BetGenius backs Ilves or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Turku PS host Ilves in a crucial Veikkausliiga Relegation Group clash, with both sides seeking to solidify their positions in the lower half of the table. Turku PS sit in eighth place on 31 points from 24 matches, having built their campaign on a sturdy defensive foundation at home where they have conceded just nine goals across 12 fixtures and kept seven clean sheets. However, recent form has seen their attacking output stall, managing just one goal in their last four matches, which includes three scoreless draws and a 1-0 defeat away to Mariehamn.

Ilves enter the contest in ninth position with 25 points from 23 matches, having gained momentum with back-to-back home victories over FF Jaro (2-0) and Lahti (3-1). While their away record has been difficult this season, yielding just one victory from 11 attempts, their recent clinical form led by top scorer T. Hytonen and creative outlet J. Kilo gives them attacking confidence heading into this fixture.

Historical head-to-head dynamics heavily favor the visitors. Ilves have maintained a remarkable record against Turku PS, winning all 10 of their last 10 meetings across all competitions, including three victories already in 2026. Even with Turku PS boasting solid home numbers, Ilves' psychological edge in this specific fixture makes them formidable opposition.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ilves have won all 10 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these clubs across all competitions, including three wins in 2026.
  2. Turku PS have struggled for goals recently, failing to score in three of their last four league fixtures.
  3. Ilves enter on a two-match winning streak after defeating FF Jaro 2-0 and Lahti 3-1.
  4. Turku PS have kept seven clean sheets at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on home turf.
  5. H2H history between these sides tends to be low-scoring, with 70 percent of their last 10 meetings remaining under 2.5 total goals.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Turku PS at homeIlves away
12
Played
11
7-3-2
W-D-L
1-3-7
1.5
Scored /game
1.5
0.8
Conceded /game
2.4
58%
Clean sheets
0%
17%
Failed to score
18%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Turku PS at home plus Ilves away).

Players

Key players this season

Turku PS

  • E. Turkki3A

Ilves

  • T. Hytönen9G
  • E. Tamminen4G · 2A
  • J. Kilo5A
  • J. Kanga3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
11FF JaroRelegation Play-offs22-2615
12MariehamnRelegation Play-offs22-2614
History

Head-to-head

0
Turku PS
0
Draws
10
Ilves

Ilves have won 10 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.3 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-20Turku PS1-3Ilves
  • 2026-06-13Ilves1-0Turku PS
  • 2026-05-27Ilves1-0Turku PS
  • 2023-04-26Turku PS0-2Ilves
  • 2023-03-25Ilves2-0Turku PS
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Ilves or Draw
74%
Confidence

Ilves hold a commanding psychological advantage in this fixture, having won all 10 of their previous 10 head-to-head encounters against Turku PS, including a 3-1 win at this ground in July 2026 and two 1-0 victories earlier in the year. Although Turku PS have been resilient at home with seven wins from 12 games, their recent scoring form has dropped significantly, failing to score in three of their last four matches. Backing Ilves to take at least a point covers both their fixture dominance and Turku PS's recent lack of cutting edge.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.