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Full time
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Sun 18 Oct · 13:00

KuPS vs VPS prediction

Round
Championship Group - 28
Venue
Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio
Referee
Antti Munukka
Form

Recent form

KuPS
43Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · 0 goal difference

VPS
39Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
KuPS or Draw

BetGenius backs KuPS or Draw (Double Chance) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

KuPS enter this Championship Group clash at the summit of the Veikkausliiga with 43 points, holding a narrow advantage in the title race. While they have endured a difficult patch with three straight defeats in all competitions, including a European loss against Trabzonspor and league reverses against Inter Turku and AC Oulu, their overall domestic foundation remains strong. At home in the league, KuPS have suffered only two defeats in 13 outings, compiling six wins and five draws while allowing less than a goal per game on average across the full league campaign.

VPS arrive in sixth position on 33 points after an inconsistent run of form. Although they earned a 1-0 home victory over Gnistan in their last match, their away form has been a recurring concern. VPS have lost six of their 13 away fixtures, scoring just 11 goals on their travels at an average of 0.8 per match, and recently suffered a heavy 6-0 away loss to HJK Helsinki.

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favour the league leaders. KuPS have won six and drawn three of the last ten encounters between the teams, including a 2-0 victory away at VPS in September 2026 and a 3-1 home win in July 2026. Given KuPS's need to protect their position at the top and VPS's struggles in front of goal on the road, the hosts hold the upper hand in a fixture likely to feature limited scoring opportunities.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. KuPS lead the Veikkausliiga table with 43 points and have lost only two of 13 home league fixtures this season.
  2. VPS have struggled away from home, losing six of 13 road games while averaging only 0.8 goals scored per away match.
  3. KuPS have dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning six and drawing three of the past ten meetings across all competitions.
  4. KuPS defeated VPS 2-0 in Vaasa when the sides met in September 2026.
  5. VPS have failed to score in three of their last four competitive fixtures.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

KuPS at homeVPS away
2
Played
13
1-0-1
W-D-L
4-3-6
—
Scored /game
0.8
—
Conceded /game
1.4
—
Clean sheets
23%
—
Failed to score
38%
20%
BTTS (last 5)
0%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
20%
Players

Key players this season

KuPS

  • J. Moreno6G
  • B. Armah4G
  • P. Pennanen3A

VPS

  • L. Smyth5G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1KuPSPlay-offs22+1543
2Inter TurkuPlay-offs22+1342
3HJK HelsinkiPlay-offs22+937
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
History

Head-to-head

6
KuPS
3
Draws
1
VPS

KuPS have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-18KuPS2-0VPS
  • 2026-09-19VPS0-2KuPS
  • 2026-07-25KuPS3-1VPS
  • 2026-06-13VPS1-1KuPS
  • 2026-06-10KuPS0-0VPS
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
KuPS or Draw
76%
Confidence

KuPS have lost only two of their 13 home league matches this season and hold a dominant record against VPS, having won six and drawn three of their last ten meetings. VPS have dropped six of their 13 away fixtures and failed to score when these two teams met in September. While KuPS have suffered a dip in their last few outings, covering the home win alongside the draw reflects their superior season-long metrics and strong historical record in this matchup.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.