Taça de Portugal (Portugal)

Arouca have lost just one of their last five competitive matches, a sequence that includes a creditable 2-2 draw away at Sporting CP and a clean-sheet victory over Estrela. While Belenenses have compiled an impressive five-match unbeaten run featuring four wins, the quality of opposition steps up significantly here. Backing Arouca on the double chance accommodates both a narrow away victory and a stalemate within normal time, reflecting the likelihood that the visiting side avoids defeat over ninety minutes.

Over 2.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Across their last five matches, Paredes have seen three or more goals scored on four occasions, including high-scoring affairs of 3-3, 5-1, and 2-1. Famalicao have also seen three or more goals in three of their previous four matches, highlighted by a 4-1 loss to Alverca, a 4-0 win against Nacional, and a 2-2 draw with Estrela. With both teams generating frequent chances and displaying occasional defensive instability, this cup tie is well positioned to exceed the 2.5 goal line.

BTTS Yes — 70% confidence

Paredes have found the net in each of their previous five fixtures, totaling 14 goals, but they have managed just one clean sheet during that run. Famalicao have scored in four of their last five matches while also conceding in four of those five. Both sides consistently generate scoring opportunities while leaving spaces at the back, supporting the likelihood that each team gets on the scoresheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Paredes have found the net in each of their previous five fixtures, totaling 14 goals, but they have managed just one clean sheet during that run. Famalicao have scored in four of their last five matches while also conceding in four of those five. Both sides consistently generate scoring opportunities while leaving spaces at the back, supporting the likelihood that each team gets on the scoresheet.

Across their last five matches, Paredes have seen three or more goals scored on four occasions, including high-scoring affairs of 3-3, 5-1, and 2-1. Famalicao have also seen three or more goals in three of their previous four matches, highlighted by a 4-1 loss to Alverca, a 4-0 win against Nacional, and a 2-2 draw with Estrela. With both teams generating frequent chances and displaying occasional defensive instability, this cup tie is well positioned to exceed the 2.5 goal line.

Oliveira Hospital enter this tie in excellent form, having won all five of their most recent fixtures while scoring in each one. They have shown an ability to win in tight encounters such as their 1-0 away triumph at Fatima, as well as higher-scoring cup ties where they scored three goals against both Juventude Evora and FC Alverca II. Olhanense held firm in their 1-0 win against Portel, but the greater competitive rhythm and winning streak of Oliveira Hospital give the visitors a strong probability of avoiding defeat in normal time.

Both sides have demonstrated remarkable offensive consistency coming into this knockout fixture. Lusitânia Lourosa have scored in each of their last five matches, recording ten goals in total with scorelines including a 3-1 win over Madalena, 2-1 victories against Sporting CP B and AVS, a 2-0 win over Academica, and a 1-1 draw with Chaves. However, they have kept only one clean sheet during that sequence, conceding in four of their five games.

Os Limianos mirror that attacking efficiency, having found the net in all five of their recent fixtures for a combined thirteen goals. They registered a 2-1 win over Vinhais, a 1-1 draw with Rebordosa, a 3-0 win against Aljustrelense, a 3-2 victory over Ponte da Barca, and a 4-1 win against Correlhã. Like their hosts, Os Limianos conceded in four of those five matches. With both teams scoring in eight of the ten combined recent fixtures for these two clubs, backing both sides to find the net provides the most reliable expectation.

Alcochetense have proven tough to break down on their own ground, having secured an 8-0 victory over Fayal and a 2-0 win against CF Benfica in cup action, alongside a 1-1 draw with Imortal Albufeira. With three clean sheets across their last five outings in all competitions, they carry defensive solidity into this home tie. Maritimo, by comparison, have struggled for defensive stability, conceding eleven goals and failing to keep a clean sheet across five consecutive winless matches against FC Porto, Gil Vicente, Moreirense, Benfica, and Arouca. Backing Alcochetense to win or draw covers two plausible outcomes while acknowledging Maritimo's recent defensive vulnerabilities and winless run.

Salgueiros have established strong defensive numbers, conceding just two goals across their last five outings while recording clean sheets against Feirense, Cinfaes, and Castro Daire. At home, they have secured two consecutive 1-0 victories in recent weeks. Estoril, on the other hand, have lost four of their last five matches and have not scored more than one goal in any of those games. Given Estoril's lack of recent winning form and Salgueiros' compactness, backing the hosts to win or draw represents a well-supported stance.

Academico Viseu have put together a four-game winning streak across all competitions, scoring seven goals and conceding just twice in victories over Estoril, Estrela, Vitória SC, and Gil Vicente. In contrast, Fátima have lost three of their past five matches, including a 3-1 home defeat to Nazarenos and a 3-0 loss against Os Marialvas. Backing the visitors on the double chance accounts for both a win in ninety minutes and the possibility of a drawn cup tie.

Felgueiras 1932 or Draw — 75% confidence

Felgueiras 1932 hold a convincing advantage in recent meetings against Fafe, remaining unbeaten across their last seven encounters with six victories and one draw. At home, Felgueiras have a perfect record against Fafe across four matches. Although Felgueiras have experienced narrow defeats in recent league fixtures, their 2-0 cup triumph over Naval 1893 demonstrated stability in knockout settings. Backing Felgueiras on the double chance accounts for the tighter margins typical of cup football while acknowledging their consistent historical supremacy.

Fafe Under 1.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Fafe have struggled to generate multiple goals when visiting Felgueiras 1932, failing to score more than once in all four recorded away meetings. Felgueiras showed disciplined cup defending by recording a shutout in their 2-0 away win at Naval 1893 and have limited opponents to one goal or fewer in three of their last five matches. Fafe should find clear-cut scoring chances limited in this knockout environment.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Fafe have struggled to generate multiple goals when visiting Felgueiras 1932, failing to score more than once in all four recorded away meetings. Felgueiras showed disciplined cup defending by recording a shutout in their 2-0 away win at Naval 1893 and have limited opponents to one goal or fewer in three of their last five matches. Fafe should find clear-cut scoring chances limited in this knockout environment.

Felgueiras 1932 hold a convincing advantage in recent meetings against Fafe, remaining unbeaten across their last seven encounters with six victories and one draw. At home, Felgueiras have a perfect record against Fafe across four matches. Although Felgueiras have experienced narrow defeats in recent league fixtures, their 2-0 cup triumph over Naval 1893 demonstrated stability in knockout settings. Backing Felgueiras on the double chance accounts for the tighter margins typical of cup football while acknowledging their consistent historical supremacy.

Santa Clara bring superior recent form into this knockout clash, having avoided defeat in each of their last five matches with three wins and two draws. During that span, they allowed only two goals and posted clean sheets against SC Braga, Rio Ave, and Casa Pia. Mafra, meanwhile, have conceded two goals in three of their last four matches, including back-to-back 2-2 draws at home. Santa Clara also proved capable at this ground with a 2-0 win on their last trip to Mafra in May 2024. Backing Santa Clara on the double chance accounts for both a regulation victory and a draw.

Both sides enter this cup tie in consistent scoring rhythm, each having found the net in all five of their last matches across all competitions. UD da Serra have shown potent attacking form with nine goals in two cup ties, but they have also conceded in four of their last five games, including three away at Amora. Vitoria Setubal have conceded in three of their last five outings, including multiple goals against Amora and Juventude Evora. With both attacks regularly producing and neither defence completely shut down, both teams scoring is well supported by recent form.

BTTS Yes — 64% confidence

Both teams have demonstrated consistent finishing in recent weeks. Alverca have scored in each of their last five matches, totaling 10 goals, while Tondela have found the net in four of their last five outings, registering 11 goals. Additionally, three of the four head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, including two separate 1-1 draws.

Alverca or Draw — 68% confidence

Alverca hold an unbeaten head-to-head record against Tondela across four previous encounters, collecting two wins and two draws. They also enter this fixture on the back of three straight victories, including decisive away wins against Famalicao and Nacional. Backing Alverca to win or draw covers the two most historically and statistically supported outcomes while accounting for Tondela's solid recent run.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Alverca hold an unbeaten head-to-head record against Tondela across four previous encounters, collecting two wins and two draws. They also enter this fixture on the back of three straight victories, including decisive away wins against Famalicao and Nacional. Backing Alverca to win or draw covers the two most historically and statistically supported outcomes while accounting for Tondela's solid recent run.

Both teams have demonstrated consistent finishing in recent weeks. Alverca have scored in each of their last five matches, totaling 10 goals, while Tondela have found the net in four of their last five outings, registering 11 goals. Additionally, three of the four head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, including two separate 1-1 draws.

Casa Pia hold a clear head-to-head advantage having won 3-0 at Alpendorada in their previous cup clash. The visitors have also avoided defeat in their last two away fixtures, beating Estoril 2-1 and holding Vitória SC to a 0-0 draw. Alpendorada have won only once in their last five matches, highlighting difficulties in closing out games. Covering the away win alongside the draw accounts for potential cup tie tension, while Casa Pia's recent defensive patterns, where three of their last five matches featured one goal or fewer, also support a lower total scoreline.

Vitoria de Sernache have established positive momentum in the cup, having won both of their ties so far by beating Nazarenos 3-0 and Varzim 2-1. Across all competitions, they have collected three wins from their last five matches, including consecutive victories coming into this tie. Brito, conversely, have lost three of their past five matches in all competitions and conceded four goals at home to Chaves II in their most recent fixture. Given Brito have been shut out in three of their last five games, backing Vitoria de Sernache to avoid defeat in regular time offers the most balanced approach.

Amarante hold a consistent record against Academica, avoiding defeat in all three recorded meetings with one win and two draws. That run includes a 1-0 victory over Academica in the 2023 edition of the Taça de Portugal and two 1-1 draws earlier in 2026. Amarante have also scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Although Academica enter with positive form from two away victories, their last two home outings yielded zero goals scored and five conceded. Backing Amarante on the double chance accounts for their strong head-to-head resilience and Academica's recent home vulnerabilities.