BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Form

Recent form

CF Os Belenenses
81Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +6 goal difference

Arouca
65Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Arouca or Draw

BetGenius backs Arouca or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

CF Os Belenenses host Arouca at the Estadio do Restelo in the Round of 64 of the Taca de Portugal. The hosts enter this cup fixture carrying strong momentum, having gone unbeaten across their last five matches in all competitions with four victories and one draw. In the earlier rounds of this cup run, Belenenses have already recorded two away victories, scoring four goals while conceding just once.

Arouca arrive with steady form of their own, having suffered only one defeat in their past five outings. Their recent stretch includes a notable 2-2 away draw against Sporting CP and a 1-0 home victory against Estrela. Playing away from home in knockout football always introduces friction, but Arouca have demonstrated resilience against higher-calibre opposition in recent weeks.

With Belenenses confident in attack after scoring in each of their last five fixtures and Arouca testing themselves against elite domestic competition, this tie promises to be competitive. The hosts will look to make home advantage count, while the visitors rely on their top-flight experience to navigate a testing cup assignment.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. CF Os Belenenses are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, recording four wins and one draw.
  2. Belenenses have scored in all five of their previous five matches, producing ten goals in that span.
  3. Arouca have been defeated only once in their past five games, including an away draw at Sporting CP.
  4. Belenenses have won both of their cup fixtures so far this season, conceding just a single goal.
  5. Arouca have shown defensive solidity recently, keeping clean sheets against both Estrela and Estoril.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

CF Os Belenenses at homeArouca away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
1-2-1
—
Scored /game
0.8
—
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

0
CF Os Belenenses
0
Draws
1
Arouca

Arouca have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-10-18CF Os Belenenses3-4Arouca
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Arouca or Draw
74%
Confidence

Arouca have lost just one of their last five competitive matches, a sequence that includes a creditable 2-2 draw away at Sporting CP and a clean-sheet victory over Estrela. While Belenenses have compiled an impressive five-match unbeaten run featuring four wins, the quality of opposition steps up significantly here. Backing Arouca on the double chance accommodates both a narrow away victory and a stalemate within normal time, reflecting the likelihood that the visiting side avoids defeat over ninety minutes.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.