BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Form

Recent form

Tondela
85Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +8 goal difference

Alverca
59Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Alverca or Draw

BetGenius backs BTTS Yes + Alverca or Draw (Combo Bet) at 64% confidence — a solid call.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Tondela host Alverca in this Taca de Portugal round of 64 clash, bringing together two teams entering the fixture in encouraging form. Tondela have built significant momentum, stringing together four consecutive victories across all competitions, including a 1-0 win against Torreense and an emphatic 5-1 away victory over Imortal Albufeira in the previous round.

Alverca travel with substantial belief after securing three consecutive wins of their own. Their recent road form has been particularly sharp, highlighted by a 4-1 victory at Famalicao and a 3-1 away win at Nacional. Furthermore, Alverca have controlled this matchup historically, remaining unbeaten across all four recorded head-to-head meetings with two victories and two draws.

With both sides showing regular attacking output in recent weeks, this cup tie promises to be a tightly contested affair. Alverca's proven resilience in this fixture provides them with a competitive edge, though Tondela's current winning run ensures that the contest should remain competitive throughout.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tondela at homeAlverca away
—
Played
4
—
W-D-L
2-0-2
—
Scored /game
2
—
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

1
Tondela
2
Draws
2
Alverca

Alverca have won 2 of the last 5 meetings, averaging 2.0 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-10-18Tondela2-0Alverca
  • 2026-02-13Tondela1-1Alverca
  • 2025-09-12Alverca1-0Tondela
  • 2025-05-11Tondela1-2Alverca
  • 2025-01-12Alverca1-1Tondela
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetLOST
Combo Bet
BTTS Yes + Alverca or Draw
64%
Both must land · no better than

BTTS Yes — 64% confidence

Both teams have demonstrated consistent finishing in recent weeks. Alverca have scored in each of their last five matches, totaling 10 goals, while Tondela have found the net in four of their last five outings, registering 11 goals. Additionally, three of the four head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, including two separate 1-1 draws.

Alverca or Draw — 68% confidence

Alverca hold an unbeaten head-to-head record against Tondela across four previous encounters, collecting two wins and two draws. They also enter this fixture on the back of three straight victories, including decisive away wins against Famalicao and Nacional. Backing Alverca to win or draw covers the two most historically and statistically supported outcomes while accounting for Tondela's solid recent run.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Alverca or Draw
68%
Confidence

Alverca hold an unbeaten head-to-head record against Tondela across four previous encounters, collecting two wins and two draws. They also enter this fixture on the back of three straight victories, including decisive away wins against Famalicao and Nacional. Backing Alverca to win or draw covers the two most historically and statistically supported outcomes while accounting for Tondela's solid recent run.

Combo BetLOST
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
Confidence

Both teams have demonstrated consistent finishing in recent weeks. Alverca have scored in each of their last five matches, totaling 10 goals, while Tondela have found the net in four of their last five outings, registering 11 goals. Additionally, three of the four head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, including two separate 1-1 draws.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.