BetGenius
Round
Round of 64
Venue
Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Form

Recent form

Academica
52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -3 goal difference

Amarante
47Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Amarante or Draw

BetGenius backs Amarante or Draw (Double Chance) at 64% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

64%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Academica host Amarante in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, looking to carry the momentum of back-to-back victories into domestic cup action. The hosts produced a 2-0 away win against União de Leiria and a 4-1 win over Real in recent weeks, though their previous two home fixtures resulted in shutout defeats against Benfica B and Lusitânia Lourosa.

Amarante come into this tie showing consistent offensive output, having scored in each of their last five matches across all competitions. Their last road trip in cup action produced a 2-0 win over Ponte da Barca, showing their ability to handle knockout conditions away from home.

Head-to-head history provides an interesting edge for the visitors. Amarante remain unbeaten across all three recorded meetings between the two sides, which includes a 1-0 victory in the Taça de Portugal in October 2023 and two separate 1-1 draws played earlier in 2026.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Amarante are unbeaten in all three recorded meetings with Academica, earning one win and two draws.
  2. The only previous Taça de Portugal meeting between these sides finished in a 1-0 win for Amarante in October 2023.
  3. Academica failed to score in their last two home games, suffering defeats against Benfica B (0-3) and Lusitânia Lourosa (0-2).
  4. Amarante have scored in five consecutive matches across all competitions.
  5. All three previous head-to-head encounters between the two clubs finished with under 2.5 total goals, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Academica at homeAmarante away
—
Played
1
—
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%
History

Head-to-head

1
Academica
2
Draws
1
Amarante

the last 4 meetings are split 1-1 with 2 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 75% of them.

  • 2026-10-17Academica3-2Amarante
  • 2026-04-12Academica1-1Amarante
  • 2026-03-29Amarante1-1Academica
  • 2023-10-22Amarante1-0Academica
BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Amarante or Draw
64%
Confidence

Amarante hold a consistent record against Academica, avoiding defeat in all three recorded meetings with one win and two draws. That run includes a 1-0 victory over Academica in the 2023 edition of the Taça de Portugal and two 1-1 draws earlier in 2026. Amarante have also scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Although Academica enter with positive form from two away victories, their last two home outings yielded zero goals scored and five conceded. Backing Amarante on the double chance accounts for their strong head-to-head resilience and Academica's recent home vulnerabilities.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.