Full time

0-1

Sun 18 Oct · 15:00

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia prediction

Follow Alpendorada Follow Casa Pia Follow this match

Round: Round of 64
Venue: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada, Alpendorada

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Alpendorada

47Average

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · 0 goal difference

Casa Pia

52Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Casa Pia or Draw

BetGenius backs Casa Pia or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%

Confidence

Strong

Preview

Match preview

Alpendorada host Casa Pia in the Round of 64 of the Taça de Portugal, renewing acquaintances after meeting at this venue in the competition last season. That previous cup encounter saw Casa Pia walk away with a convincing 3-0 victory.

Alpendorada enter this knockout tie with mixed recent momentum, having claimed only one victory across their last five matches. That run includes a 3-0 home win over Mação, but also defeats to Machico and Sanjoanense alongside a 0-0 draw with Cinfães in their most recent fixture.

Casa Pia have been involved in several tightly contested games, picking up an away win against Estoril and a scoreless away draw at Vitória SC. With solid defensive displays on the road and previous success on this ground, the visitors will aim to control the tempo and secure passage to the next round.

Analysis

Key factors

Casa Pia won the only previous head-to-head meeting 3-0 at Alpendorada in the Taça de Portugal.
Casa Pia are unbeaten in their last two away games, recording a 2-1 win at Estoril and a 0-0 draw at Vitória SC.
Alpendorada have won only one of their last five fixtures, suffering two defeats and two draws.
Three of Casa Pia's last five matches have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
Alpendorada's most recent match concluded in a scoreless 0-0 draw against Cinfães.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Alpendorada at homeCasa Pia away

Played

1-0-0

W-D-L

1-1-2

—

Scored /game

0.5

—

Conceded /game

—

Clean sheets

—

Failed to score

—

60%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

80%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

40%

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

0
Alpendorada: 0
Draws: 2
Casa Pia

Casa Pia have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.

2026-10-18Alpendorada0-1Casa Pia
2025-11-22Alpendorada0-3Casa Pia

BetGenius

Our record in Taça de Portugal

71%94 won from 132 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Casa Pia or Draw

75%

Confidence

Casa Pia hold a clear head-to-head advantage having won 3-0 at Alpendorada in their previous cup clash. The visitors have also avoided defeat in their last two away fixtures, beating Estoril 2-1 and holding Vitória SC to a 0-0 draw. Alpendorada have won only once in their last five matches, highlighting difficulties in closing out games. Covering the away win alongside the draw accounts for potential cup tie tension, while Casa Pia's recent defensive patterns, where three of their last five matches featured one goal or fewer, also support a lower total scoreline.

Explore

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Head-to-head

Our record in Taça de Portugal

1 published market

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks