Derby

Sheffield United have gathered 15 points and sit comfortably mid-table in 11th, while Derby have managed only one win in 11 league matches and sit in 23rd place. The visitors arrive severely depleted by nine missing squad members and have taken just four points from five away matches. Head-to-head history also heavily tilts toward the Blades, who have claimed victory in eight of their last ten meetings against Derby. Covering the home win and draw provides a solid position reflecting these contrasting dynamics.

Derby have struggled for attacking potency all season, scoring only nine goals in 11 Championship fixtures for an average of 0.8 goals per game. Across their last five matches, the Rams have never scored more than once, posting tallies of zero against Stoke City and single goals against QPR, Wrexham, Burnley, and Birmingham. Sheffield United concede an average of 1.2 goals per game at Bramall Lane and have already recorded four clean sheets this season, making it probable Derby remain restricted to one goal or fewer.

Sheffield Utd or Draw — 78% confidence

Sheffield United have gathered 15 points and sit comfortably mid-table in 11th, while Derby have managed only one win in 11 league matches and sit in 23rd place. The visitors arrive severely depleted by nine missing squad members and have taken just four points from five away matches. Head-to-head history also heavily tilts toward the Blades, who have claimed victory in eight of their last ten meetings against Derby. Covering the home win and draw provides a solid position reflecting these contrasting dynamics.

Derby Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Derby have struggled for attacking potency all season, scoring only nine goals in 11 Championship fixtures for an average of 0.8 goals per game. Across their last five matches, the Rams have never scored more than once, posting tallies of zero against Stoke City and single goals against QPR, Wrexham, Burnley, and Birmingham. Sheffield United concede an average of 1.2 goals per game at Bramall Lane and have already recorded four clean sheets this season, making it probable Derby remain restricted to one goal or fewer.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Derby have failed to win any of their five home league matches this season, suffering three defeats and conceding nine goals. In contrast, Stoke City sit eighth in the table and have scored in all ten of their Championship fixtures, averaging 1.4 goals per away game. With Derby missing numerous squad members including Widell Zetterstrom, Clarke, Forsyth, and Murkin, Stoke have a clear advantage in depth and form to claim at least a point.

QPR have a stronger points tally, better goal difference and a lower goals‑against average than Derby. Their recent form includes three wins in nine games, while Derby have managed just one win and three losses in the same span. Derby’s injury list removes several attacking options, reducing their chances of scoring. Head‑to‑head data shows a low scoring pattern, with only 40% of the ten meetings exceeding 2.5 goals. These factors combine to make a QPR win or draw the most probable outcome, while the total goals are expected to stay under 2.5.

Derby enter this fixture searching for their first home win of the season, having drawn once and lost three of their four matches at Pride Park while conceding an average of two goals per game. They sit in the relegation zone with five points from eight games and have struggled for offensive rhythm at home, scoring only three goals in four attempts.

Wrexham have proved competitive on their travels, taking points from three of their four away trips with a 3-0 win at Millwall, a 0-0 draw at Swansea, and two clean sheets. Head-to-head history also tilts towards the visitors, who won 2-1 on their last visit to Pride Park and drew 1-1 at home. Backing Wrexham to either win or draw aligns well with Derby's poor home return and Wrexham's ability to pick up points away.

Burnley boast an extensive unbeaten record against Derby, remaining without a loss across the last ten head-to-head encounters with six wins and four draws. Derby have struggled for form in the Championship, losing five of their seven matches this season. While Burnley are still seeking their first league victory, their ability to find the net in every match gives them a solid foundation to secure at least a point on home soil.

Burnley have seen both teams score in 100 percent of their league matches this season, having scored in all six fixtures while conceding 13 goals at an average of 2.2 per game. Derby have also shown defensive frailty by conceding 13 goals across seven matches, meaning chances should present themselves for both attacks throughout the ninety minutes.

Derby have struggled for traction this season, losing four of their six league fixtures and remaining winless at home with two defeats and a draw. Their defensive record at Pride Park has seen them concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, compounded by a long list of injured regulars. Birmingham have lost only once in six Championship outings, drawing four times and securing a victory at Wrexham. While Birmingham do not win frequently away from home, their resilience makes them capable of avoiding defeat against an out-of-form Derby side.

West Brom sit 15 places higher in the Championship table with ten points compared to Derby's four. The visitors have found the net in every competitive match this season, averaging 1.75 goals per game overall. Derby have struggled defensively, conceding ten goals across five league matches (an average of 2.0 per game) and failing to win either of their two home games this season. With Derby missing multiple squad members through injury, West Brom are well placed to secure at least a point.

West Ham have found the back of the net in all four of their league fixtures this season, averaging 2.5 goals per match on home soil. Derby enter the fixture with multiple absences including P. Agyemang, D. Murkin, L. Travis, M. Clarke, and C. Morris, leaving them depleted against a West Ham attack that has registered eight goals in four league games.

Yes — 68% confidence

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Portsmouth or Draw — 66% confidence

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Portsmouth have already registered a league victory this season and average 1.7 goals scored per game. Derby remain winless through three rounds, having collected just one point and conceding seven goals. While Portsmouth are dealing with multiple injury absences, Derby have lost both of their away competitive games this season against Charlton and Rotherham, making the home side or draw the more probable outcome.

Both teams enter this fixture without a single clean sheet in the Championship this season. Portsmouth have scored five goals and conceded six in their three matches, finding the net in every fixture. Derby have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game while scoring three. Furthermore, seven of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams find the net, indicating a consistent pattern of chances at both ends.

Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.

Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.

Swansea or Draw — 74% confidence

Swansea enter this fixture in positive league form, taking four points from their opening two fixtures including a 2-1 away win at Stoke City. In contrast, Derby have yet to secure a win, picking up one point from two matches while conceding two goals in each game. Backing Swansea in the double chance market provides a solid hedge against Derby's defensive instability and current injury list.

Yes — 68% confidence

Derby have found the net in both of their Championship fixtures this season (scoring three goals in total) but have also conceded two goals in each match without keeping a clean sheet. With Derby's last four matches across all competitions seeing both teams find the net, and Swansea having already scored two on the road at Stoke, both sides possess strong pathways to get on the scoresheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.