Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · +1 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference
BetGenius backs Burnley or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Burnley host Derby at Turf Moor in a clash between two sides currently occupying spots in the Championship relegation zone. Burnley sit at the bottom of the table in 24th place without a league win, taking three points from six matches through three draws and three defeats. Derby sit in 22nd position with four points from seven outings, having registered one victory alongside five losses.
Burnley have been consistent at both ends of the pitch, scoring in all six of their Championship matches while failing to keep a single clean sheet and conceding 13 goals in total. Derby have had greater difficulties in attack, failing to score in three of their seven fixtures, though they did pick up their sole win on the road at Portsmouth.
Historical head-to-head records strongly favour the Clarets, who are unbeaten in their last ten competitive meetings against the Rams, winning six and drawing four. With both sides desperate for points to kickstart their campaigns, Burnley will look to lean on their home advantage and strong historical record in this matchup.
Combined scoring rate: 2.3 goals per game (Burnley at home plus Derby away).
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 22 | BurnleyRelegation - League One | 11 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | DerbyRelegation - League One | 11 | -11 | 6 |
| 24 | PrestonRelegation - League One | 11 | -15 | 4 |
Burnley have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.Burnley boast an extensive unbeaten record against Derby, remaining without a loss across the last ten head-to-head encounters with six wins and four draws. Derby have struggled for form in the Championship, losing five of their seven matches this season. While Burnley are still seeking their first league victory, their ability to find the net in every match gives them a solid foundation to secure at least a point on home soil.
Burnley have seen both teams score in 100 percent of their league matches this season, having scored in all six fixtures while conceding 13 goals at an average of 2.2 per game. Derby have also shown defensive frailty by conceding 13 goals across seven matches, meaning chances should present themselves for both attacks throughout the ninety minutes.
Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.
