BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Referee
Steve Martin
Form

Recent form

Sheffield Utd
51Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +1 goal difference

Derby
22Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -5 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Sheffield Utd or Draw

BetGenius backs Sheffield Utd or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

78%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Sheffield United welcome Derby to Bramall Lane for round 12 of the Championship season, with the two sides experiencing very different campaigns so far. The Blades sit 11th in the table with 15 points from 11 matches, having won two of their last three fixtures across all competitions, including a 1-0 away victory against Bristol City and a convincing 3-0 home triumph over Lincoln.

Derby are enduring a difficult run of form, positioned 23rd in the relegation zone with just six points and seven losses from their opening 11 matches. The Rams have failed to win any of their last five outings, suffering defeats against Stoke City, QPR, and Birmingham alongside low-scoring draws with Wrexham and Burnley.

Compounding Derby's struggles is an extensive list of absentees, with nine players sidelined, including P. Agyemang, E. Cashin, M. Clarke, C. Forsyth, S. Langas, D. Murkin, C. Taylor, J. Widell Zetterstrom, and M. Johnston. Given that Sheffield United have won eight of the last ten head-to-head encounters between the clubs, the hosts hold a meaningful advantage going into this fixture.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Derby have won just one of their 11 Championship matches this season and sit 23rd in the table with six points.
  2. Sheffield United have won eight of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between the two sides.
  3. Derby are dealing with nine missing players including P. Agyemang, E. Cashin, M. Clarke, and J. Widell Zetterstrom.
  4. Derby have scored one goal or fewer in each of their last five matches, averaging only 0.8 goals per game overall.
  5. Sheffield United have collected two wins from their last three matches and have kept four clean sheets this season.
Availability

Team news

Sheffield Utd

  • F. SerikiKnee Injury
  • J. ShackletonHealth problems

Derby

  • P. AgyemangAchilles Tendon Injury
  • M. ClarkeCalf Injury
  • C. ForsythKnee Injury
  • S. LangasInjury
  • D. MurkinHamstring Injury
  • C. TaylorInjury
  • J. Widell ZetterstromKnee Injury
  • E. CashinInactive
  • M. JohnstonInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sheffield Utd at homeDerby away
5
Played
5
2-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-3
1.4
Scored /game
1
1.2
Conceded /game
2
40%
Clean sheets
20%
40%
Failed to score
20%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Sheffield Utd at home plus Derby away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8SouthamptonPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+1117
9QPR11+317
10Blackburn11+115
11Sheffield Utd11+115
12Millwall11015
13Portsmouth11015
14Wrexham11-114
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
23DerbyRelegation - League One11-116
24PrestonRelegation - League One11-154
History

Head-to-head

8
Sheffield Utd
0
Draws
2
Derby

Sheffield Utd have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game.

  • 2026-05-02Derby1-2Sheffield Utd
  • 2025-11-01Sheffield Utd1-3Derby
  • 2025-02-01Derby0-1Sheffield Utd
  • 2024-09-21Sheffield Utd1-0Derby
  • 2023-07-29Derby1-3Sheffield Utd
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Sheffield Utd or Draw
78%
Confidence

Sheffield United have gathered 15 points and sit comfortably mid-table in 11th, while Derby have managed only one win in 11 league matches and sit in 23rd place. The visitors arrive severely depleted by nine missing squad members and have taken just four points from five away matches. Head-to-head history also heavily tilts toward the Blades, who have claimed victory in eight of their last ten meetings against Derby. Covering the home win and draw provides a solid position reflecting these contrasting dynamics.

Combo Bet
Team Total Goals
Derby Under 1.5 Goals
74%
Confidence

Derby have struggled for attacking potency all season, scoring only nine goals in 11 Championship fixtures for an average of 0.8 goals per game. Across their last five matches, the Rams have never scored more than once, posting tallies of zero against Stoke City and single goals against QPR, Wrexham, Burnley, and Birmingham. Sheffield United concede an average of 1.2 goals per game at Bramall Lane and have already recorded four clean sheets this season, making it probable Derby remain restricted to one goal or fewer.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Sheffield Utd or Draw + Derby Under 1.5 Goals
74%
Both must land · no better than

Sheffield Utd or Draw — 78% confidence

Sheffield United have gathered 15 points and sit comfortably mid-table in 11th, while Derby have managed only one win in 11 league matches and sit in 23rd place. The visitors arrive severely depleted by nine missing squad members and have taken just four points from five away matches. Head-to-head history also heavily tilts toward the Blades, who have claimed victory in eight of their last ten meetings against Derby. Covering the home win and draw provides a solid position reflecting these contrasting dynamics.

Derby Under 1.5 Goals — 74% confidence

Derby have struggled for attacking potency all season, scoring only nine goals in 11 Championship fixtures for an average of 0.8 goals per game. Across their last five matches, the Rams have never scored more than once, posting tallies of zero against Stoke City and single goals against QPR, Wrexham, Burnley, and Birmingham. Sheffield United concede an average of 1.2 goals per game at Bramall Lane and have already recorded four clean sheets this season, making it probable Derby remain restricted to one goal or fewer.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published October 22, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.