BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Wheatsheaf Park, Staines
Referee
Heaslip Emily
Form

Recent form

Chelsea W
87Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Arsenal W
38Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Chelsea W or Draw

BetGenius backs Under 2.5 Goals + Chelsea W or Draw (Combo Bet) at 67% confidence — a solid call.

67%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Chelsea W host London rivals Arsenal W in a heavyweight Women's Super League clash at the start of the campaign. The home side enter matchday four in third position with seven points from three fixtures, having scored eight goals while conceding just once. Following an opening draw with Aston Villa, Chelsea secured dominant victories over Manchester United and Birmingham City.

Arsenal W sit sixth in the standings with five points, remaining unbeaten after a win and two draws. While the Gunners have matched Chelsea defensively by conceding only one goal in three games, their attack has generated just two goals so far, including a goalless home draw against Crystal Palace.

Recent meetings between these teams at Chelsea's home ground have favoured the hosts, who have claimed victory in four of their last five home head-to-head encounters against Arsenal across all competitions.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Chelsea W at homeArsenal W away
4
Played
3
3-1-0
W-D-L
1-0-2
2.5
Scored /game
1
0.8
Conceded /game
1.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
20%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.5 goals per game (Chelsea W at home plus Arsenal W away).

Players

Key players this season

Chelsea W

  • L. James4G
  • E. Carpenter3G
  • K. Walsh3A
  • A. Thompson2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City W6+1118
2Chelsea W6+1516
3London City Lionesses W6+1115
4Tottenham Hotspur W6+410
5Manchester United W6-210
6Everton W6-19
7Liverpool W6+27
8Arsenal W6-26
9West Ham W6-56
10Aston Villa W6-66
11Crystal Palace W6-76
History

Head-to-head

5
Chelsea W
1
Draws
4
Arsenal W

Chelsea W have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.5 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-04-01Chelsea W1-0Arsenal W
  • 2026-03-24Arsenal W3-1Chelsea W
  • 2026-01-24Chelsea W0-2Arsenal W
  • 2025-11-08Arsenal W1-1Chelsea W
  • 2025-01-26Chelsea W1-0Arsenal W
BetGenius

Our record in Women's Super League

57%28 won from 49 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Under 2.5 Goals + Chelsea W or Draw
67%
Both must land · no better than

Under 2.5 Goals — 67% confidence

Both sides possess tight defensive records early in the season, with each conceding just one goal across three league fixtures for a goals-against average of 0.3 per game. Arsenal have scored only two goals in three matches, while six of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams produced two or fewer goals.

Chelsea W or Draw — 76% confidence

Chelsea W have made a strong start to the league campaign, taking seven points from nine and outscoring opponents eight to one. They have also won four of their last five home encounters against Arsenal W across all competitions. Arsenal have been resilient with two clean sheets in three league outings, making the double chance on Chelsea avoiding defeat a solidly supported position.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Chelsea W or Draw
76%
Confidence

Chelsea W have made a strong start to the league campaign, taking seven points from nine and outscoring opponents eight to one. They have also won four of their last five home encounters against Arsenal W across all competitions. Arsenal have been resilient with two clean sheets in three league outings, making the double chance on Chelsea avoiding defeat a solidly supported position.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
Confidence

Both sides possess tight defensive records early in the season, with each conceding just one goal across three league fixtures for a goals-against average of 0.3 per game. Arsenal have scored only two goals in three matches, while six of the last ten head-to-head meetings between these teams produced two or fewer goals.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Published September 25, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.