Liverpool W

London City Lionesses W have put together five consecutive victories in all competitions and sit third with 15 points from six league games. In contrast, Liverpool W have dropped three straight matches, including a 5-3 home defeat to Manchester United and a 2-1 loss at Aston Villa. London City have averaged 2.8 goals per match overall and 3.7 away from home in the league, while remaining unbeaten in three historical trips to face Liverpool. Backing the visitors to win or draw covers the threat of Liverpool's home resilience while siding with the form team in the division.

Liverpool Women have displayed stronger all-round metrics this season, collecting seven points and netting nine goals in five league matches. Aston Villa Women remain winless in league competition with a record of zero wins, three draws, and two losses, alongside a high concession rate of 2.2 goals per game and zero clean sheets. Covering the away win alongside the draw accounts for Villa's tendency to split points while reflecting Liverpool's superior attacking output.

Liverpool W have scored in every league match this season, averaging 2.3 goals overall and 3.0 goals per game in away fixtures. Manchester United W have conceded in all four league outings, averaging 3.0 goals conceded per game at home. With United also scoring in three of their four league games and showing sharp finishing in recent matches, both teams finding the net represents the strongest probabilistic position.

The data heavily points to three or more goals in this fixture. Manchester United have conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game in home league matches and are yet to record a league clean sheet this season, having allowed nine goals across four matches. Liverpool have been potent on the road, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away league fixture. Across recent competitive outings, Manchester United's last five games have produced scorelines of 5-1, 2-1, 10-1, 1-1, and 0-5, while Liverpool's recent matches include 4-3, 2-0, 4-2, and 2-4 results. With the league average standing at 2.96 goals per game and head-to-head encounters averaging 2.8 goals, the evidence strongly justifies three or more total goals rather than stopping at the lower two-goal threshold.

Liverpool W or Draw — 68% confidence

Liverpool have demonstrated strong attacking form with seven goals across three league matches, led by V. Endemann who has registered two goals and two assists. Having won both of the two most recent head-to-head meetings against Everton in 2026, Liverpool hold good momentum to secure at least a point on home soil.

BTTS Yes — 60% confidence

Liverpool have scored in every league fixture this season but have also conceded in two of their three outings, averaging 1.7 goals against per game. Everton have won two of their three league matches, and with both teams having found the net in their two most recent head-to-head meetings, both sides have viable paths to the scoresheet.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Liverpool have demonstrated strong attacking form with seven goals across three league matches, led by V. Endemann who has registered two goals and two assists. Having won both of the two most recent head-to-head meetings against Everton in 2026, Liverpool hold good momentum to secure at least a point on home soil.

Liverpool have scored in every league fixture this season but have also conceded in two of their three outings, averaging 1.7 goals against per game. Everton have won two of their three league matches, and with both teams having found the net in their two most recent head-to-head meetings, both sides have viable paths to the scoresheet.