Nice

Nice Under 1.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Nice have averaged only 0.3 goals per game away from home this season, scoring just one goal in three road trips and drawing blanks on two occasions. The absence of attacking and midfield contributors such as Morgan Sanson and Antoine Mendy reduces their creative output. Brest concede an average of 1.3 goals at home, making it probable that Nice are restricted to one goal or fewer.

Stade Brestois 29 or Draw — 74% confidence

Stade Brestois 29 have been steady at home, suffering only a solitary 1-0 defeat to Paris Saint Germain while averaging 2.3 goals scored per match at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Nice have struggled considerably on their travels, losing all three away fixtures this season while scoring just once. With Nice missing multiple key squad members including Sanson, Mendy, and Abergel, Brest hold a distinct situational advantage to secure at least a point.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (team total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Stade Brestois 29 have been steady at home, suffering only a solitary 1-0 defeat to Paris Saint Germain while averaging 2.3 goals scored per match at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Nice have struggled considerably on their travels, losing all three away fixtures this season while scoring just once. With Nice missing multiple key squad members including Sanson, Mendy, and Abergel, Brest hold a distinct situational advantage to secure at least a point.

Nice have averaged only 0.3 goals per game away from home this season, scoring just one goal in three road trips and drawing blanks on two occasions. The absence of attacking and midfield contributors such as Morgan Sanson and Antoine Mendy reduces their creative output. Brest concede an average of 1.3 goals at home, making it probable that Nice are restricted to one goal or fewer.

Lyon or Draw — 78% confidence

Lyon remain unbeaten at home this season with two wins and a draw, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per match. Nice have lost both of their away league fixtures without scoring, being defeated by Auxerre and Paris FC. Head-to-head encounters in Lyon further underline this trend, as Lyon have won four and drawn one of their last five home meetings against Nice, who also travel with five players unavailable due to injury.

Lyon Over 1.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Lyon have produced consistent attacking output at home, scoring eight goals in three matches for an average of 2.7 goals per game. They struck four against Rennes and three in recent home action against Crystal Palace. Nice have conceded an average of two goals per away match, allowing three against Paris FC and one against Auxerre, which leaves their depleted back line vulnerable to conceding multiple goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Lyon have produced consistent attacking output at home, scoring eight goals in three matches for an average of 2.7 goals per game. They struck four against Rennes and three in recent home action against Crystal Palace. Nice have conceded an average of two goals per away match, allowing three against Paris FC and one against Auxerre, which leaves their depleted back line vulnerable to conceding multiple goals.

Lyon remain unbeaten at home this season with two wins and a draw, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per match. Nice have lost both of their away league fixtures without scoring, being defeated by Auxerre and Paris FC. Head-to-head encounters in Lyon further underline this trend, as Lyon have won four and drawn one of their last five home meetings against Nice, who also travel with five players unavailable due to injury.

Nice have maintained a steady baseline at home, posting one win and two draws while conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game. Their recent 2-1 victory over Lille demonstrates their capacity to compete against strong opposition on their own ground. In addition, across the ten-match head-to-head sample, Nice have avoided defeat in eight meetings, including all four played at home.

Strasbourg have displayed major defensive frailties, conceding 2.7 goals per game away from home and remaining without a clean sheet in all five matches this season. While Strasbourg possess attacking output, Nice's structured setup has limited chances at home. Given Strasbourg's defensive concession rate and Nice's steady home floor, backing Nice to win or draw represents a well-founded position.

Lille sit at the top of Ligue 1 with ten points from four matches and have won both of their away games to nil against Toulouse and Angers. In contrast, Nice sit 18th in the standings and have managed only one goal across their league fixtures, while also missing key personnel including L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy and M. Sanson. Backing Lille to secure at least a point covers both an outright away win and a low-scoring draw, which aligns with Nice drawing both of their home matches this term.

Auxerre have experienced both teams scoring in 100 percent of their league matches this season, scoring four goals while conceding 11 across three fixtures. Nice have struggled for offensive output with only one goal scored, but Auxerre's average of 3.7 goals conceded per game provides opportunities for the visitors. Additionally, eight of the previous ten head-to-head meetings between Auxerre and Nice have seen both sides score, making both teams finding the net a well-supported outcome.

Nice have experienced severe attacking difficulties, failing to score in each of their last five matches across all competitions, including both Ligue 1 games to start the season. Le Mans have shown far greater offensive rhythm, scoring four goals across their two fixtures behind the form of L. Mafouta. Given Nice's lack of goal output and several key absences through injury, Le Mans have a solid probability of securing at least a point away from home.

Both teams commenced their Ligue 1 seasons with 0-0 draws, producing zero goals scored and zero conceded through the opening round. Nice have seen three consecutive matches finish 0-0 across all competitions, while Paris FC's previous meeting with Nice at home ended in a narrow 1-0 scoreline. Historical head-to-head fixtures between the sides average just 1.5 goals with a 0% rate over 2.5 goals.

Nice are unbeaten in their last four home fixtures against Lorient (2 wins, 2 draws). Half of their last 10 head-to-head meetings have ended in a stalemate, and Lorient enter this match following back-to-back defeats against SV Elversberg and Angers.