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Sun 18 Oct · 19:45

Lyon vs Nice prediction

Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Groupama Stadium, Lyon
Referee
Francois Letexier
Form

Recent form

Lyon
53Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Nice
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Lyon or Draw + Lyon Over 1.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Lyon or Draw + Lyon Over 1.5 Goals (Combo Bet) at 71% confidence — a solid call.

71%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Lyon welcome Nice to Groupama Stadium in round seven of Ligue 1, holding fourth place with eleven points from six fixtures. The hosts have established commanding home form early in the campaign, taking seven points from three home outings while scoring eight goals and conceding only two. Despite missing L. Openda, M. Ouedraogo, and N. Tagliafico through injury, Lyon have shown creative rhythm through P. Sulc, who has three assists, and Z. Athekame with two.

Nice enter the contest ninth in the table on eight points, displaying a stark contrast between their home and away performances. While unbeaten on home soil, they have struggled heavily on the road, losing both away matches without scoring a single goal and conceding four. Their tactical structure in a 3-4-2-1 system faces further strain with five first-team players sidelined, including L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, M. Sanson, and A. Abdi.

Recent history in this fixture heavily favors the home side. Across the last five head-to-head encounters hosted by Lyon, Nice have failed to win, suffering four defeats and managing just one draw. With Lyon averaging 2.7 goals scored per home match and Nice yet to find the net away from home, the hosts hold substantial advantages heading into kickoff.

Availability

Team news

Lyon

  • L. OpendaLeg Injury
  • M. OuedraogoKnee Injury
  • N. TagliaficoMuscle Injury
  • P. SulcKnee Injury
  • A. HamdaniInactive

Nice

  • A. AbdiMuscle Injury
  • L. AbergelKnee Injury
  • M. BombitoLeg Injury
  • A. MendyKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Lyon at homeNice away
4
Played
3
3-1-0
W-D-L
0-0-3
2.5
Scored /game
0.3
0.8
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Lyon at home plus Nice away).

Players

Key players this season

Lyon

  • Z. Athekame3A
  • P. Šulc3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1LyonChampions League league stage7+814
2Paris Saint GermainChampions League league stage7+514
3Paris FCChampions League league stage7+514
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
History

Head-to-head

6
Lyon
2
Draws
2
Nice

Lyon have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-18Lyon2-1Nice
  • 2026-02-15Lyon2-0Nice
  • 2025-10-18Nice3-2Lyon
  • 2025-03-09Nice0-2Lyon
  • 2024-12-01Lyon4-1Nice
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo BetWON
Combo Bet
Lyon or Draw + Lyon Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Both must land · no better than

Lyon or Draw — 78% confidence

Lyon remain unbeaten at home this season with two wins and a draw, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per match. Nice have lost both of their away league fixtures without scoring, being defeated by Auxerre and Paris FC. Head-to-head encounters in Lyon further underline this trend, as Lyon have won four and drawn one of their last five home meetings against Nice, who also travel with five players unavailable due to injury.

Lyon Over 1.5 Goals — 71% confidence

Lyon have produced consistent attacking output at home, scoring eight goals in three matches for an average of 2.7 goals per game. They struck four against Rennes and three in recent home action against Crystal Palace. Nice have conceded an average of two goals per away match, allowing three against Paris FC and one against Auxerre, which leaves their depleted back line vulnerable to conceding multiple goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and team total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Team Total Goals
Lyon Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Confidence

Lyon have produced consistent attacking output at home, scoring eight goals in three matches for an average of 2.7 goals per game. They struck four against Rennes and three in recent home action against Crystal Palace. Nice have conceded an average of two goals per away match, allowing three against Paris FC and one against Auxerre, which leaves their depleted back line vulnerable to conceding multiple goals.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Lyon or Draw
78%
Confidence

Lyon remain unbeaten at home this season with two wins and a draw, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per match. Nice have lost both of their away league fixtures without scoring, being defeated by Auxerre and Paris FC. Head-to-head encounters in Lyon further underline this trend, as Lyon have won four and drawn one of their last five home meetings against Nice, who also travel with five players unavailable due to injury.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.