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Sat 22 Aug · 19:45

Nice vs Lorient prediction

Round
Regular Season - 1
Venue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Referee
Romain Lissorgue, France
Form

Recent form

Nice
50Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Lorient
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Nice or Draw

BetGenius backs Nice or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Nice host Lorient at the Allianz Riviera as Ligue 1 action gets underway. Both teams enter the match looking to establish early momentum, with Nice coming off consecutive goalless draws against Hull City and Cagliari, following a 2-0 defeat to Juventus. However, Nice remain undefeated on home soil in recent head-to-head encounters against Lorient, posting two wins and two draws across four home meetings.

Lorient head into this encounter on the back of consecutive defeats, having fallen 4-1 to SV Elversberg and 2-1 to Angers. Despite those recent defensive struggles, Lorient possess attacking potential, having produced a 5-1 win over UNFP earlier in their preparations.

Historically, this fixture has been closely contested, with five of the last ten meetings ending in draws. With Nice holding home advantage and an unbeaten home record against Lorient in recent clashes, the hosts look well placed to avoid defeat.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Nice are undefeated in their last 4 home meetings against Lorient (2 wins, 2 draws).
  2. 5 of the last 10 head-to-head fixtures between the two sides have ended in draws.
  3. Lorient have lost their last 2 matches, conceding 6 goals across games against SV Elversberg (4-1) and Angers (2-1).
  4. Nice have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 fixtures, including back-to-back 0-0 draws.
  5. Nice will be without L. Abergel, M. Bombito, T. Moffi, and A. Witsel, while Lorient are missing M. Bamba.
Availability

Team news

Nice

  • A. AbdiMuscle Injury
  • L. AbergelKnee Injury
  • M. BombitoLeg Injury
  • A. MendyKnee Injury

Lorient

  • B. FadigaInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Nice at homeLorient away
4
Played
3
2-2-0
W-D-L
1-1-1
1.3
Scored /game
0.7
0.8
Conceded /game
0.7
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2 goals per game (Nice at home plus Lorient away).

Players

Key players this season

Lorient

  • P. Katseris3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4LilleQualifying7+514
5MonacoEuropa League league stage7+414
6RennesPlay-offs7+113
7Lorient7+111
8Nice8-211
9Lens7+310
10Marseille7+49
11Stade Brestois 298+29
History

Head-to-head

3
Nice
5
Draws
2
Lorient

Nice have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-03-04Lorient0-0Nice
  • 2026-02-22Nice3-3Lorient
  • 2025-11-30Lorient3-1Nice
  • 2024-04-19Nice3-0Lorient
  • 2023-08-20Lorient1-1Nice
BetGenius

Our record in Ligue 1

53%53 won from 100 settled predictions (1 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Nice or Draw
68%
Confidence

Nice are unbeaten in their last four home fixtures against Lorient (2 wins, 2 draws). Half of their last 10 head-to-head meetings have ended in a stalemate, and Lorient enter this match following back-to-back defeats against SV Elversberg and Angers.

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Published August 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.