Fortuna Sittard

Over 2.5 goals is materially supported by both sides' season profiles and recent defensive records. Fortuna Sittard average 3.7 total goals per game overall and concede 2.3 goals per home fixture, having failed to record a single clean sheet on home soil. Excelsior's league matches average 3.8 total goals, and their last five fixtures have all produced at least three goals, including high-scoring scorelines such as 0-4 against Heerenveen, 1-5 against Groningen, and 2-2 draws with Ajax and NEC Nijmegen. Excelsior also average 2.2 goals scored per away game. With the head-to-head history averaging 3.25 goals per game and two out of the last three meetings at this venue featuring three or more goals, the evidence strongly justifies stepping up to the 2.5 line rather than settling for 1.5.

Fortuna Sittard have avoided defeat in each of their last four matches, showing stability that contrasts sharply with Excelsior's recent slump. Excelsior arrive winless in five games, having suffered comprehensive defeats by conceding five against Groningen and four at Heerenveen. Fortuna also possess an unblemished record when hosting Excelsior in recent history, winning all four head-to-head encounters at home. Backing Fortuna Sittard on the double chance accounts for potential stalemate tendencies seen in their recent score draws while heavily favoring the home side against an out-of-form opponent.

BTTS Yes — 76% confidence

NEC Nijmegen have conceded in all eight of their Eredivisie fixtures this season, yet they have scored in every home game with five goals in four outings. Fortuna Sittard have netted in all four of their away matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored per trip, while conceding in three of those four games. Additionally, eight of the last ten meetings between these sides saw both teams score.

Fortuna Sittard or Draw — 72% confidence

Fortuna Sittard have been in exceptional form away from home, taking ten points from a possible twelve with three wins and a draw. NEC Nijmegen have yet to win a league game at home, posting two draws and two losses while shipping two goals per match on average. Backing Fortuna Sittard to avoid defeat aligns well with each team's respective home and away form.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Fortuna Sittard have been in exceptional form away from home, taking ten points from a possible twelve with three wins and a draw. NEC Nijmegen have yet to win a league game at home, posting two draws and two losses while shipping two goals per match on average. Backing Fortuna Sittard to avoid defeat aligns well with each team's respective home and away form.

NEC Nijmegen have conceded in all eight of their Eredivisie fixtures this season, yet they have scored in every home game with five goals in four outings. Fortuna Sittard have netted in all four of their away matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored per trip, while conceding in three of those four games. Additionally, eight of the last ten meetings between these sides saw both teams score.

Twente hold a dominant historical record in this matchup, having won seven of the previous ten head-to-head fixtures against Fortuna Sittard while losing just twice. On their visits to Sittard, Twente have secured four victories in their last five attempts, including a 2-1 win in March 2026. Fortuna have struggled for defensive stability at home this campaign, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game across three home fixtures. Meanwhile, Twente have suffered only one loss in seven league outings and average 2.0 goals scored per away game. Backing Twente to avoid defeat provides strong alignment with both historical and present season metrics.

Fortuna Sittard or Draw — 73% confidence

Fortuna Sittard have collected seven points from a possible nine away from home, winning twice and drawing once while scoring eight goals on their travels. Willem II remain winless in the league, earning only two points from five matches and suffering defeats by multi-goal margins against Excelsior, NEC Nijmegen, and Go Ahead Eagles. Given Fortuna Sittard's potent away scoring record and Willem II's ongoing defensive difficulties, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence

Both clubs have zero clean sheets to their name this season. Willem II have conceded 14 goals in five games, an average of 2.8 per match, with their home fixtures witnessing high goal totals including a 1-4 loss and a 2-2 draw. Fortuna Sittard's away matches have also been high-scoring affairs, featuring identical 3-2 victories at ADO Den Haag and Groningen. With both defences vulnerable and Fortuna displaying strong attacking metrics, the conditions point toward at least three goals.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Both clubs have zero clean sheets to their name this season. Willem II have conceded 14 goals in five games, an average of 2.8 per match, with their home fixtures witnessing high goal totals including a 1-4 loss and a 2-2 draw. Fortuna Sittard's away matches have also been high-scoring affairs, featuring identical 3-2 victories at ADO Den Haag and Groningen. With both defences vulnerable and Fortuna displaying strong attacking metrics, the conditions point toward at least three goals.

Fortuna Sittard have collected seven points from a possible nine away from home, winning twice and drawing once while scoring eight goals on their travels. Willem II remain winless in the league, earning only two points from five matches and suffering defeats by multi-goal margins against Excelsior, NEC Nijmegen, and Go Ahead Eagles. Given Fortuna Sittard's potent away scoring record and Willem II's ongoing defensive difficulties, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.

Ajax have dominated this fixture historically, winning eight and drawing two of their last ten encounters against Fortuna Sittard, including four wins in their last five visits to Sittard. Ajax also boast two wins from two away league matches this season with six goals scored and zero conceded. Although Fortuna Sittard have shown solid attacking numbers with 11 goals, they have conceded nine times in five matches and kept zero clean sheets. Covering the Ajax win and the draw provides strong probability given the head-to-head dominance and Ajax's away consistency.

Fortuna Sittard have collected seven points from four league games and remain unbeaten on the road, having drawn 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven and defeated Groningen 3-2. ADO Den Haag have struggled for defensive stability, conceding 11 goals in four matches with zero clean sheets. Fortuna Sittard have also won four of the last five meetings between the sides, making the away win or draw a well-supported outcome alongside expectation for goals.

Groningen have been productive going forward, averaging 2.3 goals scored per match across their first three games, supported by the form of B. Willumsson and T. van Bergen. While Fortuna Sittard proved tricky in their 2-2 draw at PSV, they arrive without several players including the suspended O. Romeny and carry an average of 1.7 goals conceded per fixture. Backing Groningen via Double Chance provides a balanced position against a competitive opponent that has zero clean sheets this campaign.