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Fri 28 Aug · 19:00

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

Follow GroningenFollow Fortuna SittardFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Euroborg, Groningen
Referee
Martijn Vos, Netherlands

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Groningen
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Fortuna Sittard
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · -2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Groningen or Draw

BetGenius backs Groningen or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Groningen welcome Fortuna Sittard to Euroborg in round 4 of the Eredivisie season, looking to bounce back from a heavy 5-1 defeat away against PSV Eindhoven. Prior to that setback, the hosts opened their campaign with consecutive victories, defeating Utrecht 2-1 at home and ADO Den Haag 4-1 on the road, with attackers B. Willumsson (3 goals) and T. van Bergen (2 goals, 2 assists) leading the line.

Fortuna Sittard enter the clash sitting eighth in the table with four points from their opening three fixtures (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss). They demonstrated their capability in an impressive 2-2 draw away at PSV Eindhoven on matchday one before defeating Cambuur 3-1 and losing 2-0 to AZ Alkmaar. Fortuna will have to manage personnel absences, including the suspension of O. Romeny.

Historically, this fixture has been tightly contested, with Fortuna Sittard claiming five wins to Groningen's four across their last ten meetings, including a 2-1 away win for Fortuna in January 2026. Given Groningen's solid start at home and Fortuna's attacking threat on the road, a competitive encounter with goals at both ends is anticipated.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Groningen have scored in all three league fixtures this season, averaging 2.3 goals per game.
  2. B. Willumsson (3 goals) and T. van Bergen (2 goals, 2 assists) have contributed to all 7 of Groningen's league goals.
  3. Neither side has kept a clean sheet through the opening three rounds of the Eredivisie season.
  4. Fortuna Sittard are missing O. Romeny through suspension alongside several injury concerns including R. Bayram and S. Simons.
  5. Recent head-to-head records are closely split, with 4 wins for Groningen, 5 for Fortuna Sittard, and 1 draw across the last 10 encounters.
Availability

Team news

Groningen

  • M. JengLeg Injury
  • T. MerceraInjury
  • E. van der LaanInjury

Fortuna Sittard

  • R. BayramKnee Injury
  • I. MarquezInjury
  • Y. OukiliGroin Injury
  • J. DahlhausInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Groningen at homeFortuna Sittard away
5
Played
5
2-1-2
W-D-L
3-2-0
2.2
Scored /game
2.2
2.2
Conceded /game
1.6
20%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 4.4 goals per game (Groningen at home plus Fortuna Sittard away).

Players

Key players this season

Groningen

  • B. Willumsson6G
  • T. van Bergen6G
  • D. van der Werff3A

Fortuna Sittard

  • M. Ihattaren3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
4
Groningen
1
Draws
5
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.4 goals a game.

  • 2026-01-25Groningen1-2Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025-10-25Fortuna Sittard1-2Groningen
  • 2025-03-16Groningen1-0Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-10-26Fortuna Sittard1-0Groningen
  • 2024-02-08Groningen0-0Fortuna Sittard
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Groningen or Draw
72%
Confidence

Groningen have been productive going forward, averaging 2.3 goals scored per match across their first three games, supported by the form of B. Willumsson and T. van Bergen. While Fortuna Sittard proved tricky in their 2-2 draw at PSV, they arrive without several players including the suspended O. Romeny and carry an average of 1.7 goals conceded per fixture. Backing Groningen via Double Chance provides a balanced position against a competitive opponent that has zero clean sheets this campaign.

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Published August 27, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.