Fortuna Sittard or Draw — 73% confidence
Fortuna Sittard have collected seven points from a possible nine away from home, winning twice and drawing once while scoring eight goals on their travels. Willem II remain winless in the league, earning only two points from five matches and suffering defeats by multi-goal margins against Excelsior, NEC Nijmegen, and Go Ahead Eagles. Given Fortuna Sittard's potent away scoring record and Willem II's ongoing defensive difficulties, the visitors are well placed to take at least a point from this fixture.
Over 2.5 Goals — 70% confidence
Both clubs have zero clean sheets to their name this season. Willem II have conceded 14 goals in five games, an average of 2.8 per match, with their home fixtures witnessing high goal totals including a 1-4 loss and a 2-2 draw. Fortuna Sittard's away matches have also been high-scoring affairs, featuring identical 3-2 victories at ADO Den Haag and Groningen. With both defences vulnerable and Fortuna displaying strong attacking metrics, the conditions point toward at least three goals.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.