Belgium

Under 2.5 Goals — 72% confidence

Four of the last six meetings between France and Belgium have finished with under 2.5 goals, including four separate 1-0 scorelines. France have conceded zero goals across their Nations League fixtures while averaging exactly one goal scored per match. With Belgium having failed to breach the French defence in their most recent encounter on 28 September, another low-scoring affair is probable.

France or Draw — 78% confidence

France enter this clash in commanding form against their neighbours, having won all six head-to-head encounters across major tournaments and the Nations League. Les Bleus have kept clean sheets in both of their group matches so far, showing complete defensive control. Backing France to avoid defeat accounts for both their winning streak against Belgium and the possibility of a shared point between the top two sides in the group.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

France enter this clash in commanding form against their neighbours, having won all six head-to-head encounters across major tournaments and the Nations League. Les Bleus have kept clean sheets in both of their group matches so far, showing complete defensive control. Backing France to avoid defeat accounts for both their winning streak against Belgium and the possibility of a shared point between the top two sides in the group.

Four of the last six meetings between France and Belgium have finished with under 2.5 goals, including four separate 1-0 scorelines. France have conceded zero goals across their Nations League fixtures while averaging exactly one goal scored per match. With Belgium having failed to breach the French defence in their most recent encounter on 28 September, another low-scoring affair is probable.

France have maintained a disciplined defensive record without conceding in their first two group fixtures, while Belgium have scored five goals across three matches in the competition. The absence of key defensive personnel such as William Saliba for France, alongside Amadou Onana and Zeno Debast for Belgium, creates vulnerability that attackers like Michael Olise and Charles De Ketelaere can exploit. While the tight nature of recent meetings and France's two 1-0 wins argue against reaching three goals for Over 2.5, a match total of at least two goals aligns well with the offensive quality and table context.

Belgium enter this fixture in solid shape within the group, having earned three points from two tough matches against Italy and France. In contrast, Türkiye have lost both of their opening Nations League games, conceding five goals and scoring only once. With Türkiye losing four of their last five matches in all competitions and failing to keep a clean sheet in that span, Belgium hold the upper hand to take at least a point on home soil.

Belgium have been reliable in front of goal, scoring across each of their last five fixtures and putting two past Italy in their group opener. France boast supreme finishing ability through Kylian Mbappe, who scored in their opening round win over Turkiye. While both sides kept clean sheets in round one and recent head-to-head matches have often been tactically disciplined, missing key defensive personnel like William Saliba for France and Amadou Onana and Zeno Debast for Belgium makes a two-goal baseline highly probable. The step up to three or more goals is less secure given that three of the last five head-to-head meetings finished with two or fewer goals, making the over 1.5 line the well-supported call.

Italy or Draw — 75% confidence

Italy hold an exceptional head-to-head record against Belgium, having won four and drawn one of their previous five competitive encounters. The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last four matches overall and have shown strong defensive discipline, keeping clean sheets in three of those fixtures. Backing Italy to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and a stalemate against a Belgian squad missing key defensive options like Zeno Debast.

BTTS Yes — 66% confidence

Belgium have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, generating 13 goals across that span, but they have also failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight games. Italy have scored in each of their last five outings. In head-to-head history, three of the last five meetings between these two sides have ended with both teams finding the back of the net.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Italy hold an exceptional head-to-head record against Belgium, having won four and drawn one of their previous five competitive encounters. The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last four matches overall and have shown strong defensive discipline, keeping clean sheets in three of those fixtures. Backing Italy to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and a stalemate against a Belgian squad missing key defensive options like Zeno Debast.

Belgium have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, generating 13 goals across that span, but they have also failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight games. Italy have scored in each of their last five outings. In head-to-head history, three of the last five meetings between these two sides have ended with both teams finding the back of the net.