Italy or Draw — 75% confidence
Italy hold an exceptional head-to-head record against Belgium, having won four and drawn one of their previous five competitive encounters. The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last four matches overall and have shown strong defensive discipline, keeping clean sheets in three of those fixtures. Backing Italy to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and a stalemate against a Belgian squad missing key defensive options like Zeno Debast.
BTTS Yes — 66% confidence
Belgium have found the net in four of their last five fixtures, generating 13 goals across that span, but they have also failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight games. Italy have scored in each of their last five outings. In head-to-head history, three of the last five meetings between these two sides have ended with both teams finding the back of the net.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and both teams to score), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.