BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 10
Venue
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
Referee
Martijn Vos
Form

Recent form

Utrecht
68Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · -1 goal difference

PEC Zwolle
37Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Over 2.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Utrecht welcome PEC Zwolle to Stadion Galgenwaard looking to extend a positive run of momentum in the Eredivisie. Utrecht have claimed consecutive league victories over Willem II (3-1) and Twente (2-1), lifting themselves to 11th in the table with 11 points from nine matches. However, defensive vulnerability remains a persistent concern for the hosts, who are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and have conceded an average of 3.5 goals per home match.

PEC Zwolle sit 15th with seven points after enduring a difficult opening stretch that includes six defeats in nine matches. They did manage a morale-boosting 4-1 home victory over Go Ahead Eagles in their previous outing, though their away form has yielded only one win in four attempts. Their defensive record is also fragile, having allowed 22 goals in nine league fixtures.

Head-to-head history favours the hosts in this venue, with Utrecht remaining unbeaten in their last five home encounters against PEC Zwolle, recording three wins and two draws. Both sides display potent attacking moments combined with porous backlines, setting the stage for an open, eventful encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Utrecht have gone without a clean sheet in all nine Eredivisie fixtures this season, conceding 26 goals in total.
  2. PEC Zwolle have suffered six defeats in nine league matches, conceding 22 goals.
  3. Utrecht are undefeated in their last five home matches against PEC Zwolle with three wins and two draws.
  4. Utrecht have scored in eight of their nine league games this season, averaging two goals per game at home.
  5. Both teams enter the match missing key players, with Utrecht without six injured squad members and Zwolle missing three.
Availability

Team news

Utrecht

  • A. EngwandaHamstring Injury
  • V. JensenKnee Injury
  • M. JonathansKnee Injury
  • N. OhioKnee Injury
  • K. ParedesKnee Injury
  • A. StepanovAnkle Injury
  • V. BarkasInactive
  • M. BroholmInactive

PEC Zwolle

  • F. KrastevAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Y. NamliKnee Injury
  • S. FloranusInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Utrecht at homePEC Zwolle away
4
Played
4
1-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-2
2
Scored /game
1.3
3.5
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.3 goals per game (Utrecht at home plus PEC Zwolle away).

Players

Key players this season

PEC Zwolle

  • D. Mbayo4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
11Utrecht9-1011
12NEC Nijmegen9-110
13Sparta Rotterdam9-69
14Cambuur9-89
15PEC Zwolle9-127
16TelstarEredivisie (Relegation)9-86
17ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-96
18Willem IIRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-172
History

Head-to-head

4
Utrecht
5
Draws
1
PEC Zwolle

Utrecht have won 4 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-02-22Utrecht1-1PEC Zwolle
  • 2025-08-31PEC Zwolle0-2Utrecht
  • 2025-02-01PEC Zwolle3-3Utrecht
  • 2024-08-11Utrecht1-0PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-03Utrecht5-1PEC Zwolle
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

Combo Bet
Total Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Utrecht matches have been high-scoring this season, producing a total of 42 goals across nine games at an average of 4.67 per match. Utrecht have failed to record a single clean sheet while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded at home. PEC Zwolle have conceded 22 goals in nine matches and scored four in their latest game, making a high goal count likely.

Combo Bet
Double Chance
Utrecht or Draw
74%
Confidence

Utrecht have won their last two Eredivisie matches, beating Willem II 3-1 and Twente 2-1. They also boast an unbeaten record across their last five home meetings with PEC Zwolle, taking three victories and two draws. PEC Zwolle have lost six of their nine league matches this season, making the home side well-positioned to take at least a point.

Combo Bet
Combo Bet
Utrecht or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
74%
Both must land · no better than

Utrecht or Draw — 74% confidence

Utrecht have won their last two Eredivisie matches, beating Willem II 3-1 and Twente 2-1. They also boast an unbeaten record across their last five home meetings with PEC Zwolle, taking three victories and two draws. PEC Zwolle have lost six of their nine league matches this season, making the home side well-positioned to take at least a point.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Utrecht matches have been high-scoring this season, producing a total of 42 goals across nine games at an average of 4.67 per match. Utrecht have failed to record a single clean sheet while averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.5 conceded at home. PEC Zwolle have conceded 22 goals in nine matches and scored four in their latest game, making a high goal count likely.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.