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Sat 5 Sept · 20:00

Willem II vs Excelsior prediction

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Round: Regular Season - 5
Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Referee: Robin Hensgens, Netherlands

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Willem II

12Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Excelsior

18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-2D-3L · -9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Excelsior or Draw

BetGenius backs Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Willem II host Excelsior in round five of the Eredivisie season with both sides experiencing contrasting starts to their campaigns. Willem II sit 15th in the standings with just one point from three matches, having conceded ten goals across their opening fixtures, including four-goal concessions against both Go Ahead Eagles and NEC Nijmegen.

Excelsior enter this encounter in much stronger form, occupying ninth place with six points from their first three games. The Rotterdam side opened their away schedule with a commanding 4-0 victory over Cambuur and followed up with a 2-1 home triumph against Sparta Rotterdam, only slipping to a narrow 2-1 defeat against PSV Eindhoven.

Squad availability also favours the visitors. Willem II are dealing with an extensive list of absences, with five players sidelined through injury and two inactive, while Excelsior travel with a nearly full squad. Given Willem II's defensive vulnerabilities and Excelsior's clinical start in front of goal, the visitors hold a notable edge.

Analysis

Key factors

Willem II have conceded ten goals in their opening three league games, an average of 3.3 per match.
Excelsior have won two of their three matches this season, scoring seven goals in total.
Willem II have several confirmed absences, including five injured players and two inactive squad members.
Excelsior won their sole away fixture of the campaign by a 4-0 scoreline against Cambuur.

Availability

Team news

Willem II

A. CulumFoot Injury
T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
J. HoogmaKnee Injury
A. LachkarGroin Injury

W. van der SteenInactive

Excelsior

N. NaujoksInjury

Team news last updated Oct 11 (13 days ago) — later changes may not be reflected.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Willem II at homeExcelsior away

Played

0-1-3

W-D-L

2-2-1

0.8

Scored /game

2.2

2.5

Conceded /game

1.6

—

Clean sheets

40%

—

Failed to score

20%

80%

BTTS (last 5)

80%

60%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

100%

Combined scoring rate: 3 goals per game (Willem II at home plus Excelsior away).

Players

Key players this season

Excelsior

I. Yegoian5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
7	GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)	9	+3	14
8	Heerenveen	9	+4	12
9	GO Ahead Eagles	9	-1	11
10	Excelsior	9	-2	11
11	Utrecht	9	-10	11
12	NEC Nijmegen	9	-1	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	9	-6	9
15	PEC Zwolle	9	-12	7
16	TelstarEredivisie (Relegation)	9	-8	6
17	ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie	9	-9	6
18	Willem IIRelegation - Eerste Divisie	9	-17	2

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

3
Willem II: 4
Draws: 3
Excelsior

the last 10 meetings are split 3-3 with 4 drawn, averaging 2.5 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

2026-09-05Willem II0-3Excelsior
2022-12-30Willem II3-1Excelsior
2021-07-17Willem II2-0Excelsior
2019-04-21Excelsior1-1Willem II
2018-09-15Willem II2-2Excelsior

BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON

Double Chance

Excelsior or Draw

74%

Confidence

Excelsior have started the campaign in positive form with two victories from three matches, scoring seven goals and posting a goal difference of plus four. Their away form has been sharp, highlighted by a 4-0 victory over Cambuur. In contrast, Willem II have taken one point from three fixtures and have conceded ten goals, averaging over three goals allowed per game. With Willem II also missing several squad members including A. Culum, T. Didillon Hodl, and A. Lachkar, Excelsior have a strong probability of securing at least a point.

Explore

Willem II vs Excelsior prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Team news

Willem II

Excelsior

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Excelsior

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Eredivisie

1 published market

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