BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Form

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam
44Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -6 goal difference

Willem II
12Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -8 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw

BetGenius backs Sparta Rotterdam or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II in a clash that pits a mid‑table side against the league bottom club. Sparta sit 14th with six points from eight games, having struggled to keep clean sheets but showing a better attack (1.6 goals per game) than their opponents. Willem II are 18th with only two points, a poor defensive record (2.9 goals conceded per game) and anemic scoring rate of 0.9 per match.

Sparta have a clear historical edge, winning eight of the nine previous meetings and the most recent encounter ending 5‑1 in their favour. Their recent form includes a 3‑3 draw away and a mix of draws and narrow losses, while Willem II have managed just one draw in their last five games and have been heavy defeats against stronger opponents.

Injury news shows Sparta missing midfielder S. Mito (injury) and an unavailable M. van Bergen, whereas Willem II list several injured players, further weakening an already fragile side. Both teams have no clean sheets this season, suggesting that goals are likely to be conceded on both ends.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Sparta rank 14 with 6 points vs Willem II rank 18 with 2 points
  2. Head‑to‑head: Sparta 8 wins, 1 loss in last 9 meetings, most recent 5‑1 victory
  3. Sparta average 1.6 goals per game, Willem II average 0.9 goals per game
  4. Both sides have zero clean sheets this season, indicating likely goals
  5. Willem II have multiple injury concerns, limiting their attacking options
Availability

Team news

Sparta Rotterdam

  • S. MitoInjury

Willem II

  • A. CulumFoot Injury
  • T. Didillon HodlHamstring Injury
  • J. HoogmaKnee Injury
  • A. LachkarGroin Injury
  • W. van der SteenInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Sparta Rotterdam at homeWillem II away
5
Played
5
1-2-2
W-D-L
0-1-4
1.6
Scored /game
1.2
2.4
Conceded /game
3.2
0%
Clean sheets
0%
40%
Failed to score
0%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.8 goals per game (Sparta Rotterdam at home plus Willem II away).

Players

Key players this season

Sparta Rotterdam

  • M. Zonneveld6G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
10Excelsior9-211
11Utrecht9-1011
12NEC Nijmegen9-110
13Sparta Rotterdam9-69
14Cambuur9-89
15PEC Zwolle9-127
16TelstarEredivisie (Relegation)9-86
17ADO Den HaagRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-96
18Willem IIRelegation - Eerste Divisie9-172
History

Head-to-head

9
Sparta Rotterdam
0
Draws
1
Willem II

Sparta Rotterdam have won 9 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, 80% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17Sparta Rotterdam3-2Willem II
  • 2025-12-18Willem II1-5Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2025-07-26Willem II3-1Sparta Rotterdam
  • 2025-03-02Sparta Rotterdam4-0Willem II
  • 2024-08-31Willem II1-2Sparta Rotterdam
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw
74%
Confidence

Sparta’s superior league position, points total and eight‑to‑one head‑to‑head record give them a strong advantage. Their scoring average (1.6) exceeds Willem II’s (0.9) and recent matches have produced multiple goals, supporting an over‑2.5 expectation. Willem II’s injury list and recent form further reduce the chance of a win, making a home win or draw the most supported outcome.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.