Ajax have maintained a perfect record on their travels in the Eredivisie this season, collecting twelve points from four away fixtures with a dominant goal tally of sixteen scored to three conceded. Furthermore, their historical dominance in this fixture is pronounced, with Ajax remaining unbeaten in the past ten competitive clashes against Sparta Rotterdam, recording seven wins and three draws. While the visitors face selection issues with several regulars sidelined through injury and a quick turnaround after facing Atalanta, Sparta's defensive record of twenty-two goals conceded in nine matches leaves them vulnerable. Backing Ajax to either win or take a point covers the potential fatigue factor while respecting their strong form away from home.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction
- Round
- Regular Season - 10
- Venue
- Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
- Referee
- Danny Makkelie
Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy
Recent form
Last 5 matches · 1W-2D-2L · -6 goal difference
Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference
Our verdict
BetGenius backs Ajax or Draw (Double Chance) at 78% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
Match preview
Sparta Rotterdam welcome Ajax to Het Kasteel in round ten of the Eredivisie. The hosts sit thirteenth in the table on nine points, having experienced an open and volatile start to their campaign with sixteen goals scored and twenty-two conceded across nine fixtures. A recent 3-2 victory over Willem II and a 3-3 draw at Go Ahead Eagles highlight their attacking threat led by M. Zonneveld, but defensive frailties remain evident as they have yet to register a clean sheet this season.
Ajax travel to Rotterdam placed fourth with eighteen points from nine matches, trailing leaders Feyenoord by five points. They have been dominant on the road in domestic play, winning all four away matches while scoring sixteen goals and conceding only three. However, Ajax enter this fixture managing squad rotation after a European match against Atalanta on Thursday and contend with multiple injuries, including S. Berghuis, D. Blind, and K. Dolberg.
Historically, Ajax have held significant control in this head-to-head matchup, remaining unbeaten across the last ten meetings with seven victories and three draws. Given Sparta's porous backline and Ajax's clinical away record, this encounter promises plenty of offensive activity.
Key factors
- Ajax have won all four of their away league matches this season, scoring sixteen goals and conceding only three.
- Sparta Rotterdam have not kept a single clean sheet in nine league games, conceding twenty-two goals overall.
- In the last ten head-to-head meetings between these clubs, Ajax remain unbeaten with seven wins and three draws.
- Sparta's recent five matches have averaged 4.4 total goals per game, featuring scorelines such as 3-2, 3-3, and 1-4.
- Ajax enter the contest missing several key contributors through injury, including S. Berghuis, D. Blind, and K. Dolberg.
Team news
Sparta Rotterdam
- S. MitoInjury
Ajax
- S. AdingraLacking Match Fitness
- S. BerghuisInjury
- D. BlindBack Injury
- Caio HenriqueThigh Injury
- K. DolbergKnee Injury
- A. GaaeiInjury
- O. EdvardsenInactive
Statistical comparison
Combined scoring rate: 5.6 goals per game (Sparta Rotterdam at home plus Ajax away).
Key players this season
Sparta Rotterdam
- M. Zonneveld6G
Ajax
- J. Brandt6G
- O. Gloukh4A
- K. DolbergKnee Injury3A
League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.
Table context
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase) | 9 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification) | 9 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification) | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 | AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs) | 9 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 | TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs) | 9 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs) | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs) | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 | TelstarEredivisie (Relegation) | 9 | -8 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 0
- Sparta Rotterdam
- 3
- Draws
- 7
- Ajax
Ajax have won 7 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 3.0 goals a game, 60% went over 2.5.
- 2026-03-14Ajax4-0Sparta Rotterdam
- 2025-10-04Sparta Rotterdam3-3Ajax
- 2025-04-27Ajax1-1Sparta Rotterdam
- 2024-12-22Sparta Rotterdam0-2Ajax
- 2024-03-17Sparta Rotterdam2-2Ajax
Our record in Eredivisie
Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →
Based on at least 20 settled predictions.3 published markets
Goals have featured heavily in fixtures involving both teams throughout the current campaign. Sparta Rotterdam have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match at home and have failed to record a clean sheet across nine league outings, with their last five matches producing totals of five, six, four, five, and four goals. At the same time, Ajax have averaged four goals scored per away game in the Eredivisie, spearheaded by J. Brandt who has already netted six times. With the league averaging 3.84 goals per match and sixty percent of the last ten meetings between these sides crossing the 2.5-goal threshold, the conditions strongly support a game featuring at least three goals.
Ajax or Draw — 78% confidence
Ajax have maintained a perfect record on their travels in the Eredivisie this season, collecting twelve points from four away fixtures with a dominant goal tally of sixteen scored to three conceded. Furthermore, their historical dominance in this fixture is pronounced, with Ajax remaining unbeaten in the past ten competitive clashes against Sparta Rotterdam, recording seven wins and three draws. While the visitors face selection issues with several regulars sidelined through injury and a quick turnaround after facing Atalanta, Sparta's defensive record of twenty-two goals conceded in nine matches leaves them vulnerable. Backing Ajax to either win or take a point covers the potential fatigue factor while respecting their strong form away from home.
Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence
Goals have featured heavily in fixtures involving both teams throughout the current campaign. Sparta Rotterdam have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match at home and have failed to record a clean sheet across nine league outings, with their last five matches producing totals of five, six, four, five, and four goals. At the same time, Ajax have averaged four goals scored per away game in the Eredivisie, spearheaded by J. Brandt who has already netted six times. With the league averaging 3.84 goals per match and sixty percent of the last ten meetings between these sides crossing the 2.5-goal threshold, the conditions strongly support a game featuring at least three goals.
These two calls are about different parts of the match (double chance and total goals), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.
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Published October 24, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.