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15:00
Sat 24 Oct

Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction

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Round
Regular Season - 12
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Referee
Tim Robinson

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Cardiff
56Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · +4 goal difference

Birmingham
89Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +9 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw

BetGenius backs Birmingham or Draw (Double Chance) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Fourth-placed Birmingham travel to the Cardiff City Stadium looking to extend an impressive run of form that has seen them win three consecutive Championship fixtures without conceding a single goal. With five victories and only one defeat across their opening eleven matches, the visitors enter the contest firmly positioned in the playoff places.

Cardiff occupy 19th place in the table with 11 points, having recorded only two wins so far this term. However, the Bluebirds have displayed contrasting fortunes depending on venue: while winless on their travels, they remain unbeaten on home soil with two wins and three draws, scoring 12 goals in five outings in front of their own supporters.

Cardiff must contend with key defensive and midfield absences, including the suspended Gabriel Osho and injured personnel such as Calum Chambers and Rubin Colwill. Facing a Birmingham side that has conceded only four goals in five away fixtures, the hosts face a stern test of their home resilience.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Birmingham sit 4th in the Championship, having lost only one of their opening 11 matches (five wins, five draws).
  2. Birmingham enter on a three-game winning streak, keeping clean sheets in all three matches against West Brom, Preston, and QPR.
  3. Cardiff have not recorded a single clean sheet in 11 league fixtures this season, conceding 17 goals.
  4. Cardiff are missing several key players including the suspended G. Osho alongside injured trio C. Chambers, R. Colwill, and D. Lawlor.
  5. Cardiff remain unbeaten at home (two wins, three draws), making the draw-inclusive double chance a well-supported option.
Availability

Team news

Cardiff

  • C. ChambersKnee Injury
  • R. ColwillAnkle Injury
  • D. LawlorHamstring Injury
  • G. OshoRed Card
  • Y. SalechInactive

Birmingham

  • M. LeonardAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Paik Seung-HoHealth problems
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Cardiff at homeBirmingham away
5
Played
5
2-3-0
W-D-L
3-1-1
2.4
Scored /game
1.2
1.2
Conceded /game
0.8
0%
Clean sheets
40%
0%
Failed to score
20%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 3.6 goals per game (Cardiff at home plus Birmingham away).

Players

Key players this season

Cardiff

  • J. Moylan6G · 3A
  • O. Tanner3A

Birmingham

  • L. Millar4G · 3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1SwanseaPromotion - Premier League11+823
2West HamPromotion - Premier League11+1822
3MiddlesbroughPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+622
4BirminghamPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)11+920
5West BromPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+320
6Stoke CityPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+219
7WolvesPromotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)11+318
16Bristol City11-314
17Charlton11-514
18Lincoln11-1012
19Cardiff11+111
20Watford11-911
21Norwich11-49
22BurnleyRelegation - League One11-58
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
6
Cardiff
3
Draws
1
Birmingham

Cardiff have won 6 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, only 40% went over 2.5.

  • 2024-04-10Birmingham0-1Cardiff
  • 2023-12-13Cardiff0-1Birmingham
  • 2023-08-29Birmingham1-3Cardiff
  • 2023-02-14Birmingham0-2Cardiff
  • 2022-08-13Cardiff1-0Birmingham
BetGenius

Our record in Championship

63%126 won from 199 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Double Chance
Birmingham or Draw
75%
Confidence

Birmingham have suffered only one loss in 11 league matches this campaign and arrive with strong momentum following three consecutive shutout victories against West Brom, Preston, and QPR. While Cardiff are unbeaten at home, they have won only two of 11 league games overall and have not kept a single clean sheet this season. With multiple defensive absences impacting Cardiff, backing Birmingham to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes while respecting Cardiff's tendency to draw at home.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.