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Sat 12 Sept · 15:00

Mariehamn vs Turku PS prediction

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Round: Relegation Group - 24
Venue: Wiklof Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Referee: Antti Munukka, Finland

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Mariehamn

73Strong

Last 5 matches · 4W-0D-1L · +6 goal difference

Turku PS

44Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-3D-1L · +1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance

Turku PS or Draw

BetGenius backs Turku PS or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%

Confidence

Solid

Preview

Match preview

Mariehamn host Turku PS in the Veikkausliiga Relegation Group, with both sides looking to solidify their positions. Mariehamn sit at the foot of the table on 14 points after 23 matches, having conceded 45 goals across the campaign. While a recent three-match winning run in August provided temporary relief, a 2-1 defeat to Lahti in their latest outing demonstrated that their defensive vulnerabilities remain.

Turku PS enter this contest sitting in eighth place with 31 points and a substantially tighter defensive record, having allowed only 23 goals in 23 games. The visitors are on a five-match unbeaten run, built largely on defensive solidity, having recorded three consecutive draws against SJK, Gnistan, and Inter Turku.

Historical meetings between these two sides heavily tilt towards shared points and Turku PS resilience. Out of their last ten encounters across all competitions, six have finished level, with Turku PS losing only once in that span.

Analysis

Key factors

Turku PS are unbeaten in their last five league fixtures, recording one win and four draws.
Mariehamn have lost 15 of their 23 league matches this season and conceded a total of 45 goals.
Head-to-head records show Turku PS have avoided defeat in nine of the last ten meetings against Mariehamn.
Six of the previous ten matches between these two clubs have finished as draws.
Turku PS boast a strong defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal per game overall.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Mariehamn at homeTurku PS away

Played

3-4-5

W-D-L

1-5-6

0.8

Scored /game

0.8

1.4

Conceded /game

1.3

25%

Clean sheets

42%

Failed to score

42%

40%

BTTS (last 5)

40%

Over 2.5 (last 5)

20%

Combined scoring rate: 1.6 goals per game (Mariehamn at home plus Turku PS away).

Players

Key players this season

Turku PS

E. Turkki3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
5	AC OuluPlay-offs	22	0	34
6	VPSPlay-offs	22	+7	33
7	LahtiRelegation Play-offs	22	+7	32
8	Turku PSRelegation Play-offs	22	+5	31
9	IlvesRelegation Play-offs	22	-3	25
10	SJKRelegation Play-offs	22	-8	19
11	FF JaroRelegation Play-offs	22	-26	15
12	MariehamnRelegation Play-offs	22	-26	14

History

Head-to-head

Full record →

1
Mariehamn: 6
Draws: 3
Turku PS

Turku PS have won 3 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.6 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

2026-08-01Turku PS3-0Mariehamn
2026-04-04Mariehamn1-1Turku PS
2026-02-11Mariehamn1-1Turku PS
2025-05-28Mariehamn2-2Turku PS
2024-03-22Mariehamn1-3Turku PS

BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST

Double Chance

Turku PS or Draw

74%

Confidence

Turku PS come into this match in resilient form, remaining unbeaten in their last five fixtures. Across the entire season, they have conceded just 23 goals in 23 games compared to Mariehamn's 45 goals conceded. Head-to-head history also strongly favours the visitors avoiding defeat, with Turku PS losing only one of the previous ten meetings against Mariehamn while securing three wins and six draws, including two 1-1 stalemates on this ground earlier in 2026.

Explore

Mariehamn vs Turku PS prediction

Recent form

Our verdict

Match preview

Key factors

Statistical comparison

Key players this season

Turku PS

Table context

Head-to-head

Our record in Veikkausliiga

1 published market

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