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Sat 12 Sept · 17:00

Ilves vs Lahti prediction

Round
Relegation Group - 24
Venue
Tammela Stadium, Tampere
Referee
Akseli Ropponen, Finland
Form

Recent form

Ilves
55Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · +1 goal difference

Lahti
56Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · 0 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Ilves or Draw

BetGenius backs Ilves or Draw (Double Chance) at 72% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

72%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Ilves host Lahti in the Veikkausliiga Relegation Group, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in the lower tier of the table. Lahti arrive in seventh place with 32 points, while Ilves occupy ninth place on 25 points.

Ilves have built most of their campaign on home form, securing seven wins and keeping seven clean sheets across 12 league matches on their own ground. They also boast an unbeaten record in recent home meetings with Lahti, having registered three wins and two draws across their last five home head-to-head encounters, including a 1-0 victory in July 2026.

Lahti enter the contest on a positive run with three consecutive victories, but their away fixtures have tended to be tight and low-scoring affairs. In 11 away league games, Lahti have scored nine goals and conceded nine, averaging only 0.8 goals per match at both ends of the pitch. With Ilves conceding just 0.9 goals per home match, this encounter shapes up as a compact battle where home advantage provides Ilves a solid platform to secure points.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Ilves have won seven of their 12 home league fixtures this season while keeping seven clean sheets.
  2. Ilves are unbeaten in their last five home meetings against Lahti, recording three wins and two draws.
  3. Lahti have averaged just 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match across 11 away games.
  4. Ilves allow only 0.9 goals per match at home across the 2026 campaign.
  5. Lahti have kept four clean sheets in 11 away matches, pointing toward a low-scoring dynamic.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Ilves at homeLahti away
13
Played
12
8-1-4
W-D-L
4-2-6
1.7
Scored /game
0.8
0.9
Conceded /game
1
54%
Clean sheets
33%
8%
Failed to score
33%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 2.5 goals per game (Ilves at home plus Lahti away).

Players

Key players this season

Ilves

  • T. Hytönen9G
  • E. Tamminen4G · 2A
  • J. Kilo5A
  • J. Kanga3A

Lahti

  • Martim Ferreira5G
  • Tòfol Montiel4A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
4GnistanPlay-offs22+736
5AC OuluPlay-offs22034
6VPSPlay-offs22+733
7LahtiRelegation Play-offs22+732
8Turku PSRelegation Play-offs22+531
9IlvesRelegation Play-offs22-325
10SJKRelegation Play-offs22-819
11FF JaroRelegation Play-offs22-2615
12MariehamnRelegation Play-offs22-2614
History

Head-to-head

4
Ilves
3
Draws
2
Lahti

Ilves have won 4 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 3.7 goals a game, 67% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-26Ilves1-0Lahti
  • 2026-06-10Ilves5-2Lahti
  • 2026-05-30Lahti5-0Ilves
  • 2024-06-29Lahti2-2Ilves
  • 2024-04-06Ilves0-0Lahti
BetGenius

Our record in Veikkausliiga

61%30 won from 49 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Ilves or Draw
72%
Confidence

Ilves have performed consistently on home turf this season, winning seven of their 12 home league fixtures and conceding only 11 goals in the process. They remain unbeaten against Lahti across their last five home head-to-head meetings, winning three and drawing two. While Lahti have won their last three matches overall, their away output remains modest at 0.8 goals scored per game. Backing Ilves to either win or draw aligns well with their defensive stability at home and historical superiority in Tampere.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.