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Sun 18 Oct · 15:45

Groningen vs Ajax prediction

Round
Regular Season - 9
Venue
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen
Referee
Dennis Higler
Form

Recent form

Groningen
58Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Ajax
67Strong

Last 5 matches · 2W-2D-1L · +4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Both Teams to Score
Yes

BetGenius backs Yes (Both Teams to Score) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Sixth-placed Groningen host fifth-placed Ajax in round nine of the Eredivisie, with only one point separating the sides in the European play-off positions. Both teams enter the fixture with productive attacking records, having each scored in all eight of their league matches this season. Groningen have found the net 20 times while conceding 14, and Ajax have struck 22 goals while conceding 10.

Groningen come into this meeting following consecutive domestic victories, including a 5-1 away win against Excelsior and a 3-0 home triumph over PEC Zwolle, propelled by five league goals each from B. Willumsson and T. van Bergen. However, they face an Ajax team that has won all three of their away league matches to date, scoring 11 goals on their travels. Ajax are aiming to bounce back from a 2-1 loss against HNK Hajduk Split and consecutive home draws, navigating several injury absences including S. Berghuis, D. Blind, and K. Dolberg.

Historical meetings between the clubs further highlight the attacking nature of this matchup. Seven of their previous ten encounters have seen both sides get on the scoresheet, generating an average of 3.9 goals per fixture. Given the consistent offensive output from both camps and minimal clean sheets, another open encounter appears probable.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Neither side has failed to score in any of their eight Eredivisie matches this season.
  2. Groningen average 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game, recording only one clean sheet.
  3. Ajax have scored 11 goals across three away league matches, winning all three fixtures on the road.
  4. Both teams have scored in 70 percent of the last ten head-to-head encounters, which average 3.9 goals per game.
  5. Groningen forwards B. Willumsson and T. van Bergen have each scored five league goals this season.
Availability

Team news

Groningen

  • M. JengLeg Injury
  • T. MerceraInjury
  • E. van der LaanInjury

Ajax

  • S. AdingraLacking Match Fitness
  • S. BerghuisInjury
  • D. BlindBack Injury
  • Caio HenriqueThigh Injury
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury
  • A. GaaeiInjury
  • O. EdvardsenInactive
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Groningen at homeAjax away
5
Played
4
2-1-2
W-D-L
4-0-0
2.2
Scored /game
4
2.2
Conceded /game
0.8
20%
Clean sheets
—
0%
Failed to score
—
80%
BTTS (last 5)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 6.2 goals per game (Groningen at home plus Ajax away).

Players

Key players this season

Groningen

  • B. Willumsson6G
  • T. van Bergen6G
  • D. van der Werff3A

Ajax

  • J. Brandt6G
  • O. Gloukh4A
  • K. DolbergKnee Injury3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1FeyenoordPromotion - Champions League (League phase)9+2123
2AZ AlkmaarPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)9+1020
3PSV EindhovenPromotion - Europa League (Qualification)9+1519
4AjaxPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+1518
5TwentePromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+717
6Fortuna SittardPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9-115
7GroningenPromotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)9+314
8Heerenveen9+412
9GO Ahead Eagles9-111
10Excelsior9-211
History

Head-to-head

1
Groningen
1
Draws
8
Ajax

Ajax have won 8 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 4.2 goals a game, both teams scored in 70% of them.

  • 2026-10-18Groningen2-5Ajax
  • 2026-05-21Ajax2-0Groningen
  • 2026-03-07Groningen3-1Ajax
  • 2025-12-02Ajax2-0Groningen
  • 2025-05-14Groningen2-2Ajax
BetGenius

Our record in Eredivisie

73%59 won from 81 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Both Teams to Score
Yes
76%
Confidence

Neither Groningen nor Ajax has failed to score across their opening eight Eredivisie fixtures this season. Groningen average 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, keeping just one clean sheet all campaign. Ajax average 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, and have conceded in each of their last three games across all competitions. Furthermore, 70 percent of the past ten head-to-head meetings between these teams produced goals for both sides, with an average of 3.9 total goals per match. Even with Ajax managing notable injuries to S. Berghuis, D. Blind, and K. Dolberg, their attacking threat remains high alongside Groningen's proven scoring record led by B. Willumsson and T. van Bergen.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.