Nottingham Forest

BTTS Yes — 69% confidence

Defensive resilience has been elusive for both sides in the opening seven rounds. Ipswich have kept zero clean sheets all season, conceding fifteen goals in seven outings, but have found the net eleven times, scoring in five of those matches. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest have scored all five of their league goals this season in away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals per match on their travels, while conceding six at the other end. With neither side demonstrating the ability to shut out opposing attacks, both teams scoring presents a strong statistical profile.

Ipswich or Draw — 73% confidence

Ipswich have shown solid form at Portman Road, winning two of their three home matches this season, including a 2-1 victory over Fulham. In contrast, Nottingham Forest enter this fixture on a three-game losing run and sit in the relegation zone with just five points. The visitors are also weakened by the absence of influential playmaker Morgan Gibbs-White, striker Igor Jesus, and defender Nicolo Savona. Backing Ipswich to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and the draw while reflecting Forest's current struggles to secure positive results on the road.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (both teams to score and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Ipswich have shown solid form at Portman Road, winning two of their three home matches this season, including a 2-1 victory over Fulham. In contrast, Nottingham Forest enter this fixture on a three-game losing run and sit in the relegation zone with just five points. The visitors are also weakened by the absence of influential playmaker Morgan Gibbs-White, striker Igor Jesus, and defender Nicolo Savona. Backing Ipswich to avoid defeat covers both the home victory and the draw while reflecting Forest's current struggles to secure positive results on the road.

Defensive resilience has been elusive for both sides in the opening seven rounds. Ipswich have kept zero clean sheets all season, conceding fifteen goals in seven outings, but have found the net eleven times, scoring in five of those matches. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest have scored all five of their league goals this season in away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals per match on their travels, while conceding six at the other end. With neither side demonstrating the ability to shut out opposing attacks, both teams scoring presents a strong statistical profile.

The evidence provides compelling backing for three or more goals rather than stopping at the lower line. Ipswich matches have averaged 3.71 total goals this season, with four of their last five league games clearing 2.5 goals, including fixtures producing five, six, and five goals against Manchester City, Arsenal, and Crystal Palace. Forest show an identical open pattern when playing away from home, with all three of their away league fixtures seeing three or more goals while averaging 3.67 total goals per road fixture. Given that Ipswich have conceded an average of 2.1 goals per game and kept zero clean sheets all season, alongside Forest scoring in 100 percent of their away games while conceding two per trip, the metrics materially point to a third goal being scored rather than a low-scoring two-goal ceiling.

Arsenal hold a clear quality edge across the season, collecting 15 points from six fixtures compared to Forest's five points. However, Forest's matches at the City Ground have been exceptionally low-scoring, with zero goals scored and just two conceded across three games, including a 0-0 draw against Tottenham. Arsenal's previous two visits to this venue also finished 0-0, and with key personnel like Saliba and Zubimendi unavailable, backing Arsenal or draw provides appropriate protection against another tight defensive stalemate.

Nottingham Forest have built a steady foundation away from home, taking four points from two road matches that included visits to Aston Villa and Liverpool. In contrast, Crystal Palace have lost both of their home league encounters this season, allowing an average of 3.5 goals per game at Selhurst Park. Furthermore, Palace face severe selection issues with key personnel missing, including starting striker J. Mateta, goalkeeper D. Henderson, and defender A. Disasi due to suspension. In head-to-head history, Nottingham Forest are unbeaten across the last ten encounters between the teams, with eight of those fixtures ending level. Forest therefore carry strong credentials to secure at least a point.

Nottingham Forest enter this clash unbeaten in three league matches, including creditable results against Liverpool and Aston Villa. Coventry have lost all their Premier League games so far and have yet to score a league goal. Backing Forest to avoid defeat covers both the expected home victory and a low-scoring stalemate, while the low goal tallies on both sides support a match total under 2.5 goals.

Aston Villa boast a perfect record in their last five home matches against Nottingham Forest, winning every encounter at Villa Park. While Villa have struggled in attack in the league with zero goals in three matches, Forest have won zero of their three opening fixtures and have scored in only one league match so far.

Nottingham Forest hold a dominant recent record over Tottenham, having won all four of their last Premier League encounters by an aggregate score of 9-1. Tottenham enter this fixture sitting bottom of the table after losing their opening two matches without scoring a single goal and conceding five. Furthermore, Tottenham are missing key attacking outlets such as James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski through injury, which limits their creative output. Backing Forest to win or draw covers the most probable outcomes based on recent form and historical match-ups.

Liverpool enter as the stronger side following a two-goal performance away at Newcastle, while Nottingham Forest failed to score in their 1-0 opening defeat to Leeds. Double Chance (Home or Draw) provides appropriate coverage against Forest, who have proven capable of frustrating Liverpool in past encounters, having claimed three wins across the previous nine head-to-head meetings.

Leeds enter this knockout clash on a five-match unbeaten streak across all competitions, having just defeated Nottingham Forest 1-0 at the City Ground on August 22. Forest have failed to score in three of their last five matches, and backing Leeds to avoid defeat in regulation provides a robust position given recent form and head-to-head momentum.

Both direct Premier League meetings in 2025/26 produced goals for both sides (3-1 and 1-3). Leeds demonstrated potent offensive form across their pre-season, scoring in four of their five matches, while Forest netted multiple goals in their most recent home outings.