BetGenius
Round
Regular Season - 4
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham
Referee
Andy Madley, England
Form

Recent form

Aston Villa
88Excellent

Last 5 matches · 4W-1D-0L · +11 goal difference

Nottingham Forest
26Very poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Aston Villa or Draw

BetGenius backs Aston Villa or Draw (Double Chance) at 73% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

73%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Aston Villa welcome Nottingham Forest to Villa Park looking to kick-start their domestic campaign. The hosts sit 17th in the Premier League table with one point from three matches, having recorded one draw and two defeats while failing to score across their opening league fixtures. Despite early domestic struggles, Villa recently secured a 3-2 victory over Club Brugge.

Nottingham Forest occupy 16th place with two points from three games, holding a record of two draws and one loss. The visitors showed resilience in their only away league fixture of the season, taking a point in a 2-2 draw at Liverpool, before playing out a 0-0 draw at home against Tottenham.

Historical head-to-head records strongly favour the hosts at Villa Park. Aston Villa have won all five of their previous home meetings against Nottingham Forest across all competitions, including a 4-0 win in May 2026 and a 3-1 victory in January 2026.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Aston Villa have won all five previous head-to-head fixtures against Nottingham Forest played at Villa Park
  2. Aston Villa have yet to score in the Premier League this season through three matches
  3. Nottingham Forest have drawn two of their opening three league fixtures, including a 2-2 away draw at Liverpool
  4. Aston Villa enter without suspended midfielder Joao Gomes and injured players including A. Onana and L. Goretzka
  5. Nottingham Forest have failed to score in two of their three league fixtures this season
Availability

Team news

Aston Villa

  • A. OnanaKnee Injury
  • M. RuggeriMuscle Injury
  • A. Wan-BissakaMuscle Injury
  • J. ManzambiCalf Injury

Nottingham Forest

  • Igor JesusCalf Injury
  • N. SavonaKnee Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Aston Villa at homeNottingham Forest away
3
Played
3
0-1-2
W-D-L
1-1-1
1
Scored /game
1.7
1.7
Conceded /game
2
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 2.7 goals per game (Aston Villa at home plus Nottingham Forest away).

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9Ipswich8-410
10Hull City7+19
11Newcastle7-48
12Aston Villa7-48
13Manchester United707
14Crystal Palace7-87
15Bournemouth7-46
16Tottenham7-46
17Nottingham Forest8-46
18CoventryRelegation - Championship7-86
19FulhamRelegation - Championship7-35
20SunderlandRelegation - Championship7-84
History

Head-to-head

5
Aston Villa
2
Draws
3
Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.9 goals a game, both teams scored in 60% of them.

  • 2026-05-07Aston Villa4-0Nottingham Forest
  • 2026-04-30Nottingham Forest1-0Aston Villa
  • 2026-04-12Nottingham Forest1-1Aston Villa
  • 2026-01-03Aston Villa3-1Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-04-05Aston Villa2-1Nottingham Forest
BetGenius

Our record in Premier League

67%74 won from 110 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Aston Villa or Draw
73%
Confidence

Aston Villa boast a perfect record in their last five home matches against Nottingham Forest, winning every encounter at Villa Park. While Villa have struggled in attack in the league with zero goals in three matches, Forest have won zero of their three opening fixtures and have scored in only one league match so far.

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Published September 11, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.