Molde

Molde have recorded eight wins and just three defeats across 12 home league matches, scoring 2.5 goals per match at home. While Fredrikstad earned victories in both 2025 meetings between these sides, their overall away record of seven losses from 12 trips and an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away fixture makes an outright away win improbable. Backing Molde to take at least a point respects Fredrikstad's competitive head-to-head record while reflecting Molde's commanding home statistics.

Both clubs have consistently featured in open, high-scoring matches. Each of Molde's last five fixtures across all competitions has generated at least three goals, including a 2-2 draw with Lillestrom and high-scoring victories over Ham-Kam and Trygg/Lade. Molde average 2.2 goals scored per home match, while Start have conceded 29 goals in 11 away fixtures, representing an average of 2.6 conceded per away outing. Start's recent games show a similar pattern, with their last five matches all producing over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, 71.4 percent of the past seven head-to-head encounters between these teams have cleared the 2.5 goal line, averaging 3.71 goals per game.

Molde have produced an average of 3.9 total goals per away match in the league this season, scoring 20 and conceding 19 across 10 road games. They have failed to score only once away from home while keeping just a single clean sheet. Lillestrom have maintained an average of 3.2 total goals in their home matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15 across 10 outings. Additionally, seven of the last nine head-to-head encounters between these clubs have produced three or more goals, yielding an average of 3.0 goals per meeting. With Molde also missing several defensive players through injury, another productive contest is well supported by the numbers.

Molde hold a commanding advantage in league standing, home form, and recent momentum. Molde have taken seven victories from ten home matches while scoring 23 goals and conceding 11. Conversely, Aalesund have managed only one win in nine away league outings and concede an average of 2.1 goals on their travels. Molde have also won every recorded head-to-head meeting at home in the sample, making a home win the most probable outcome.

Molde have won four straight fixtures across all competitions, netting 20 goals in that span including an 11-0 away triumph in their previous cup tie. Trygg/Lade have managed only one win in their last five outings and have conceded three goals in each of their last two matches against Tromsdalen Uil and Hønefoss, indicating significant defensive vulnerabilities against elite opposition.

Ham-Kam's home fixtures have averaged 3.4 total goals per game this season, with the hosts scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.6. Molde's away matches follow an even higher-scoring pattern, averaging 3.7 total goals with 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per trip. The reverse meeting between the sides this season produced five goals in a 4-1 Molde victory, and sixty percent of their last ten head-to-head encounters have seen three or more goals scored.

Molde have produced heavy goal volume at home this season, scoring 21 goals in 9 matches at an average of 2.3 per game while conceding 1.2. Their last five fixtures across all competitions have each cleared the 2.5 goal mark, with their most recent league game producing a 4-3 scoreline. KFUM Oslo have struggled defensively on their travels, conceding 2.4 goals per match away from home and coming off a 4-1 loss at Start. With their previous head-to-head encounter this season finishing 4-2, the offensive and defensive metrics of both sides strongly support over 2.5 total goals.

Over 2.5 Goals — 76% confidence

Both sides have been involved in consistently high-scoring matches. Valerenga's overall fixtures average 3.65 total goals (28 scored, 34 conceded across 17 games), while Molde average 3.41 total goals per league game (32 scored, 26 conceded). Furthermore, 66.7% of the last nine head-to-head meetings have exceeded 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.44 goals per fixture across that span.

Molde or Draw — 73% confidence

Molde have enjoyed substantial success in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last four visits to Valerenga with three victories and one draw. Overall, Molde have won six of the last nine head-to-head encounters and sit six points ahead of Valerenga in the Eliteserien table. Covering the draw provides sensible security given Molde's modest away record of two wins from eight matches.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Molde have enjoyed substantial success in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last four visits to Valerenga with three victories and one draw. Overall, Molde have won six of the last nine head-to-head encounters and sit six points ahead of Valerenga in the Eliteserien table. Covering the draw provides sensible security given Molde's modest away record of two wins from eight matches.

Both sides have been involved in consistently high-scoring matches. Valerenga's overall fixtures average 3.65 total goals (28 scored, 34 conceded across 17 games), while Molde average 3.41 total goals per league game (32 scored, 26 conceded). Furthermore, 66.7% of the last nine head-to-head meetings have exceeded 2.5 goals, with an average of 3.44 goals per fixture across that span.