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Sat 19 Sept · 17:00

Molde vs Aalesund prediction

Round
Regular Season - 22
Venue
Aker Stadion, Molde
Referee
Rohit Saggi, Norway
Form

Recent form

Molde
74Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +12 goal difference

Aalesund
63Average

Last 5 matches · 3W-0D-2L · +2 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Molde to win

BetGenius backs Molde to win (Match Winner) at 75% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

75%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

Molde welcome Aalesund to the Aker Stadion in Eliteserien action, with the hosts looking to solidify their position in the upper reaches of the table. Molde sit third on 36 points from 20 matches, holding a European qualification place. They enter this contest in strong form after securing five consecutive victories in all competitions, most recently defeating Ham-Kam 5-1 away from home and KFUM Oslo 2-0 on their own ground.

Aalesund occupy 15th place in the automatic relegation zone with 18 points from 20 games. Their away record has seen just one win, three draws, and five defeats in nine road trips, conceding 19 goals along the way. While they earned a 2-0 home victory against Start earlier in September, their previous away league fixture resulted in a 2-1 defeat at KFUM Oslo.

The head-to-head record at this venue heavily favours Molde, who have won all three home encounters against Aalesund in the provided sample by margins of 4-1, 3-0, and 3-0. With Molde averaging 2.3 goals per home match and Aalesund conceding 2.1 goals per away match, the hosts hold an evident statistical edge across multiple areas.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Molde have won seven of their ten home league games, scoring 23 goals and conceding 11.
  2. Aalesund sit 15th in the standings and have managed only one win in nine away league fixtures.
  3. Molde enter on a five-match winning streak across all competitions, scoring 25 goals across those fixtures.
  4. Aalesund concede an average of 2.1 goals per game on the road this season.
  5. Molde have won all three head-to-head encounters against Aalesund at home in the provided data.
Availability

Team news

Molde

  • S. HansenInjury
  • E. HestadLeg Injury
  • V. HoffKnee Injury
  • M. KikkenborgAchilles Tendon Injury
  • H. StenevikInjury
  • S. DiopInactive

Aalesund

  • H. HammerInjury
  • S. HaramElbow Injury
  • P. AuklandInjury
  • A. KjelsenInjury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Molde at homeAalesund away
12
Played
11
8-1-3
W-D-L
3-3-5
2.5
Scored /game
1.4
1.2
Conceded /game
1.9
25%
Clean sheets
0%
8%
Failed to score
18%
60%
BTTS (last 5)
100%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
100%

Combined scoring rate: 3.9 goals per game (Molde at home plus Aalesund away).

Players

Key players this season

Molde

  • E. Breivik9G · 9A
  • K. Lonebu8G

Aalesund

  • M. Christensen9G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
1Bodo/GlimtPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3856
2VikingPromotion - Champions League (Qualification)23+3756
3MoldePromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1740
4TromsoPromotion - Conference League (Qualification)23+1140
5Rosenborg23+1237
6Lillestrom23+136
11Valerenga23-826
12Ham-Kam23-1526
13Sandefjord23-824
14AalesundEliteserien (Relegation)23-1224
15Kristiansund BKRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2419
16StartRelegation - OBOS-ligaen23-2916
History

Head-to-head

5
Molde
1
Draws
1
Aalesund

Molde have won 5 of the last 7 meetings, averaging 3.4 goals a game, 86% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-07-11Aalesund2-2Molde
  • 2026-02-27Molde4-1Aalesund
  • 2023-05-16Aalesund3-1Molde
  • 2023-05-03Molde3-0Aalesund
  • 2023-03-25Aalesund0-3Molde
BetGenius

Our record in Eliteserien

84%57 won from 68 settled predictions (2 void)

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Match Winner
Molde to win
75%
Confidence

Molde hold a commanding advantage in league standing, home form, and recent momentum. Molde have taken seven victories from ten home matches while scoring 23 goals and conceding 11. Conversely, Aalesund have managed only one win in nine away league outings and concede an average of 2.1 goals on their travels. Molde have also won every recorded head-to-head meeting at home in the sample, making a home win the most probable outcome.

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Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.