BetGenius
Primeira LigaPrimeira Liga
Full time
1-1
Sun 20 Sept · 15:30

Vitória SC vs Moreirense prediction

Follow Vitória SCFollow MoreirenseFollow this match
Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Referee
Sergio Guelho, Portugal

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Vitória SC
54Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -1 goal difference

Moreirense
30Poor

Last 5 matches · 1W-1D-3L · -4 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw

BetGenius backs Vitória SC or Draw (Double Chance) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Vitória SC welcome Moreirense to the Estádio D. Afonso Henriques looking to improve their position in the bottom half of the Primeira Liga table. The hosts have picked up four points from their opening six league fixtures, experiencing significant difficulty in front of goal with only four goals scored overall. However, their defensive record on home soil remains sturdy, having conceded just a single goal across three home matches this season.

Moreirense travel with seven points from their five matches, though their recent form has been inconsistent with three defeats in their last four competitive fixtures. While they managed a 1-0 away victory at Casa Pia, heavy defeats against Benfica and Arouca have exposed defensive vulnerabilities, resulting in 12 goals conceded across their five matches so far.

Historical head-to-head records strongly favour the home side in this specific venue. Vitória SC have won all four of their recent home meetings against Moreirense, including three consecutive 1-0 victories in their most recent clashes.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Vitória SC have won all four head-to-head home meetings against Moreirense in the available data.
  2. Vitória SC have conceded just one goal in three home league matches this season, keeping two clean sheets.
  3. Moreirense have suffered three defeats in their last four matches, conceding 12 goals across five league games.
  4. Under 2.5 goals has landed in 66.7 percent of the historical head-to-head meetings between these two sides.
  5. Vitória SC home fixtures this season have produced an average of just 0.67 total goals per game.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Vitória SC at homeMoreirense away
4
Played
4
1-2-1
W-D-L
1-1-2
0.5
Scored /game
0.8
0.5
Conceded /game
1.8
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
40%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
20%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 1.3 goals per game (Vitória SC at home plus Moreirense away).

Players

Key players this season

Vitória SC

  • Miguel Nogueira3A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
8Alverca8+111
9SC Braga8-111
10Estrela8-110
11Vitória SC908
12Moreirense8-78
13Maritimo9-108
14Famalicao8-17
15Rio Ave8-97
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
5
Vitória SC
1
Draws
3
Moreirense

Vitória SC have won 5 of the last 9 meetings, averaging 2.1 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-01-30Vitória SC1-0Moreirense
  • 2025-08-23Moreirense2-0Vitória SC
  • 2025-03-30Moreirense2-2Vitória SC
  • 2024-11-03Vitória SC1-0Moreirense
  • 2024-03-30Vitória SC1-0Moreirense
BetGenius

Our record in Primeira Liga

70%49 won from 70 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Double Chance
Vitória SC or Draw
74%
Confidence

Vitória SC have maintained a solid defensive platform at home this season, conceding just one goal in three matches with two clean sheets. Their historical record when hosting Moreirense is flawless across the provided head-to-head data, winning all four home encounters. While their attack has averaged only 0.7 goals per game overall, Moreirense have lost three of their last four matches in all competitions and conceded an average of two goals per game on the road.

Explore

More from BetGenius

Understand these picks

Other Primeira Liga predictions

Teams around them in the table

FC PortoBenficaSporting CPSanta ClaraAroucaGIL Vicente
All Primeira Liga predictions →

Published September 18, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.