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Sat 17 Oct · 23:30

Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W prediction

Follow Utah Royals WFollow Kansas City WFollow this match
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
Referee
Danielle Chesky, USA

Published by the BetGenius Editorial Desk · Editorial policy

Form

Recent form

Utah Royals W
42Poor

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · -3 goal difference

Kansas City W
78Strong

Last 5 matches · 3W-1D-1L · +7 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Total Goals
Under 3.5 Goals

BetGenius backs Under 3.5 Goals (Total Goals) at 76% confidence — a strong call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

76%
Confidence
Strong
Preview

Match preview

A high-stakes fixture in the upper half of the NWSL table sees fourth-placed Utah Royals host fifth-placed Kansas City, with just two points separating the sides. Utah Royals have built a resilient campaign on home soil, securing eight victories from 13 home fixtures with 21 goals scored and 17 conceded. They enter this contest having taken seven points from their last five league matches, including a 2-1 home victory over North Carolina Courage.

Kansas City arrive with an explosive attack that has produced 48 goals across the season, spearheaded by Temwa Chawinga with 12 goals and Croix Bethune with 10 assists. However, their fortunes have differed sharply by venue: while dominant at home, they have found travel difficult, recording three wins, one draw, and nine defeats across 13 away games while managing only 11 goals on the road.

Despite their away struggles this campaign, Kansas City boast an immaculate recent head-to-head record against Utah Royals, winning all five of their previous encounters. With both sides jockeying for playoff quarter-final positioning and past meetings averaging only 1.8 goals per match, a fiercely contested and tactically measured battle is expected.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. All five previous head-to-head meetings between these teams produced under 3.5 goals, with four staying under 2.5.
  2. Kansas City have struggled offensively away from home, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per game and failing to score in six of 13 away fixtures.
  3. Utah Royals have conceded only 17 goals in 13 home matches, averaging 1.3 goals conceded per game on their own pitch.
  4. Kansas City hold a psychological edge having won all five historical meetings between the clubs, including two 1-0 wins in Utah.
  5. The stakes are significant with only two points separating fourth-placed Utah Royals (46 points) and fifth-placed Kansas City (44 points) in the playoff zone.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Utah Royals W at homeKansas City W away
14
Played
14
8-0-6
W-D-L
4-1-9
1.5
Scored /game
0.9
1.4
Conceded /game
1.7
21%
Clean sheets
14%
21%
Failed to score
43%
40%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
60%

Combined scoring rate: 2.4 goals per game (Utah Royals W at home plus Kansas City W away).

Players

Key players this season

Utah Royals W

  • Minami Tanaka5A
  • C. Lacasse5A

Kansas City W

  • T. Chawinga12G
  • H. Hopkins11G
  • Croix Bethune10A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

Full table →
#TeamPGDPts
1NJ/NY Gotham FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1355
2San Diego Wave WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1354
3Washington Spirit WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1452
4Kansas City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1247
5Utah Royals WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+747
6Angel City WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+1746
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
History

Head-to-head

Full record →
0
Utah Royals W
0
Draws
6
Kansas City W

Kansas City W have won 6 of the last 6 meetings, averaging 1.8 goals a game, only 33% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-17Utah Royals W0-2Kansas City W
  • 2026-03-14Kansas City W2-1Utah Royals W
  • 2025-08-09Utah Royals W0-1Kansas City W
  • 2025-03-29Kansas City W3-0Utah Royals W
  • 2024-09-07Kansas City W1-0Utah Royals W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedWON
Total Goals
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
Confidence

Every one of the five recorded head-to-head meetings between Utah Royals and Kansas City has finished with three or fewer goals, producing scorelines of 2-1, 1-0, 3-0, 1-0, and 1-0 for an average of 1.8 goals per game. Kansas City have experienced notable offensive friction away from home this season, scoring an average of only 0.8 goals per away match and failing to score in six of their 13 road fixtures. Utah Royals concede a moderate 1.3 goals per game at home and have conceded only two goals across their last two fixtures. With significant quarter-final playoff implications on the line, the tactical setup should remain disciplined, keeping the total goal count well within manageable limits.

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Published October 17, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.