BetGenius
Round
Group Stage
Venue
Centennial Stadium, Commerce City, CO
Form

Recent form

Denver Summit W
47Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-1D-2L · 0 goal difference

Racing Louisville W
18Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -6 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Match Winner
Denver Summit W to win

BetGenius backs Denver Summit W to win (Match Winner) at 74% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Over 2.5 Goals.

74%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Denver Summit W host Racing Louisville W at a stage in the NWSL season where both sides are looking to close out the campaign on positive ground. Denver occupy 10th place with 38 points from 28 matches, having registered a positive home record of six wins, four draws, and four defeats, while scoring at an average rate of 1.9 goals per match on their own turf.

In contrast, Racing Louisville sit 15th in the standings with 24 points and have endured significant struggles on their travels. Louisville have lost 12 of their 14 away fixtures this season, managing just two victories and zero draws while conceding 33 goals on the road. They have also failed to record a single clean sheet across 28 total league games.

Denver won the reverse fixture 1-0 away from home in May and present the superior attacking output, supported by creators J. Beckie and Y. Ryan. Given Louisville's consistent defensive vulnerabilities away from home and recent run of four defeats in five matches, Denver hold a clear situational edge entering this encounter.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Racing Louisville have lost 12 of their 14 away matches in the league, drawing zero and conceding 33 goals.
  2. Louisville have not recorded a single clean sheet across 28 matches this season, conceding 2.4 goals per away game.
  3. Denver Summit average 1.9 goals scored per home match and defeated Louisville 1-0 in their reverse meeting in May.
  4. Louisville arrive in weak form having taken only one point from their last five matches with four defeats.
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Denver Summit W at homeRacing Louisville W away
14
Played
14
6-4-4
W-D-L
2-0-12
1.9
Scored /game
1.2
1.5
Conceded /game
2.4
14%
Clean sheets
0%
21%
Failed to score
29%
80%
BTTS (last 5)
60%
100%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
40%

Combined scoring rate: 3.1 goals per game (Denver Summit W at home plus Racing Louisville W away).

Players

Key players this season

Denver Summit W

  • J. Beckie6A
  • Y. Ryan5A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
7Portland Thorns WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)28+644
8Seattle Reign FC WPromotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)29+344
9North Carolina Courage W28+1042
10Denver Summit W28+738
11Orlando Pride W28-636
12Houston Dash W29-433
13Boston Legacy W28-932
14Bay FC W28-1427
15Racing Louisville W28-1724
16Chicago Red Stars W29-5217
History

Head-to-head

1
Denver Summit W
0
Draws
0
Racing Louisville W

Denver Summit W have won 1 of the last 1 meeting.

  • 2026-05-30Racing Louisville W0-1Denver Summit W
BetGenius

Our record in NWSL

68%32 won from 47 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

Featured
Match Winner
Denver Summit W to win
74%
Confidence

Denver Summit W hold a pronounced statistical advantage against a Louisville side that has lost 12 of 14 away fixtures this season. Louisville concede an average of 2.4 goals per game on the road and have zero clean sheets in 28 matches overall. With Denver scoring 1.9 goals per match at home and already holding a 1-0 head-to-head victory over Louisville earlier in the campaign, the home side is well positioned to secure all three points.

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Published October 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.