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Sun 18 Oct · 11:30

Udinese vs Lecce prediction

Round
Regular Season - 7
Venue
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Referee
Marco Guida
Form

Recent form

Udinese
14Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -7 goal difference

Lecce
46Average

Last 5 matches · 2W-0D-3L · -1 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Double Chance
Udinese or Draw

BetGenius backs Udinese or Draw (Double Chance) at 68% confidence — a solid call. Total goals: Under 2.5 Goals.

68%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Udinese welcome Lecce to the Bluenergy Stadium for round seven of the Serie A campaign, with both teams eager to halt recent slides down the table. Udinese currently sit 15th on four points after enduring a testing run of fixtures, while Lecce occupy 13th spot with six points from their opening six encounters.

Udinese have found life difficult on their own ground this season, picking up one point from three home fixtures and scoring just twice. However, their historical record against Lecce offers encouragement, having avoided defeat in five of their past six home meetings against the Salentini.

Lecce travel north having lost four of their last five matches across all competitions, including shutout defeats away to AC Milan and Cagliari. With Lecce averaging just 0.7 goals per away game and Udinese matching that exact scoring rate at home, a closely fought contest with minimal margins appears likely.

Analysis

Key factors

  1. Udinese have avoided defeat in five of their last six home meetings against Lecce, recording three wins and two draws.
  2. Lecce have lost four of their last five Serie A fixtures and have failed to score in two of their three away games this season.
  3. Both teams average only 0.7 goals scored per game in their respective home and away splits.
  4. Under 2.5 goals has landed in seven of the previous ten head-to-head encounters between the two clubs.
Availability

Team news

Udinese

  • D. AlabaCalf Injury
  • V. BayoThigh Injury
  • I. GueyeAnkle Injury
  • N. ZanioloThigh Injury

Lecce

  • L. CoulibalyThigh Injury
  • I. IlicThigh Injury
  • S. PierottiAnkle Injury
  • M. BerishaThigh Injury
Numbers

Statistical comparison

Udinese at homeLecce away
4
Played
4
0-1-3
W-D-L
2-0-2
0.5
Scored /game
1.3
1.8
Conceded /game
1
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
80%

Combined scoring rate: 1.8 goals per game (Udinese at home plus Lecce away).

Players

Key players this season

Udinese

  • J. Ekkelenkamp3G

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

Table

Table context

#TeamPGDPts
9Juventus7+111
10Napoli7+310
11Atalanta7-19
12Lecce7-39
13Sassuolo7-28
14Monza8-37
15Bologna7-45
16Udinese7-74
17Genoa7-84
18FiorentinaRelegation7-94
19ParmaRelegation7-94
History

Head-to-head

5
Udinese
2
Draws
3
Lecce

Udinese have won 5 of the last 10 meetings, averaging 2.2 goals a game, only 30% went over 2.5.

  • 2026-10-18Udinese0-3Lecce
  • 2026-02-08Lecce2-1Udinese
  • 2025-10-25Udinese3-2Lecce
  • 2025-02-21Lecce0-1Udinese
  • 2024-10-05Udinese1-0Lecce
BetGenius

Our record in Serie A

69%81 won from 117 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

1 published market

FeaturedLOST
Double Chance
Udinese or Draw
68%
Confidence

Udinese have dominated this fixture in front of their home supporters, claiming three wins and two draws from their last six home clashes with Lecce. While Udinese have yet to secure a victory on home soil this term, Lecce have struggled significantly on the road, suffering two defeats in three trips and failing to score in both losses. Head-to-head history also points toward a low-scoring affair, with 70 percent of their last ten meetings finishing with under 2.5 goals. Given Lecce have lost four of their last five games overall, Udinese have a favourable setup to take at least a point from this encounter.

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Published October 16, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.