BetGenius
Round
Group Stage - 1
Venue
Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi
Referee
A. Bouh
Form

Recent form

Tunisia
15Very poor

Last 5 matches · 0W-1D-4L · -15 goal difference

Uganda
81Excellent

Last 3 matches · 2W-1D-0L · +3 goal difference

Our call

Our verdict

Combo Bet
Over 1.5 Goals + Tunisia or Draw

BetGenius backs Over 1.5 Goals + Tunisia or Draw (Combo Bet) at 73% confidence — a solid call.

73%
Confidence
Solid
Preview

Match preview

Tunisia open their AFCON Qualification campaign at home against Uganda, seeking a reset after a demanding run of international fixtures against elite global opposition. The Carthage Eagles faced steep challenges against sides like the Netherlands, Japan, and Belgium, but they return to continental action where they traditionally command strong authority on home soil.

Uganda arrive looking to find stability following mixed continental results, including a 3-1 defeat to Nigeria and a 1-1 draw with Tanzania in late 2025. The Cranes have found matches against top North African opposition difficult in recent years, particularly when travelling away from home.

Head-to-head history gives Tunisia a distinct psychological edge. In their most recent encounter at the Africa Cup of Nations in December 2025, Tunisia secured a 3-1 home victory, following a 2-0 friendly win in their previous meeting.

Numbers

Statistical comparison

Tunisia at homeUganda away
1
Played
1
0-1-0
W-D-L
1-0-0
—
Scored /game
—
—
Conceded /game
—
—
Clean sheets
—
—
Failed to score
—
60%
BTTS (last 5)
—
80%
Over 2.5 (last 5)
—
Players

Key players this season

Tunisia

  • H. Mastouri4G
  • M. Talbi2A

League scoring and assist totals for this season — not a predicted lineup. Availability is only shown where team news names the same player.

History

Head-to-head

2
Tunisia
0
Draws
0
Uganda

Tunisia have won 2 of the last 2 meetings.

  • 2025-12-23Tunisia3-1Uganda
  • 2017-01-04Tunisia2-0Uganda
BetGenius

Our record in AFCON Qualification

64%49 won from 77 settled predictions

Settled results only — every published pick is recorded win or lose. Full track record →

Based on at least 20 settled predictions.
Predictions

3 published markets

FeaturedWON
Combo Bet
Over 1.5 Goals + Tunisia or Draw
73%
Both must land · no better than

Over 1.5 Goals — 73% confidence

Both historical meetings between Tunisia and Uganda produced at least two goals, finishing 3-1 and 2-0. Furthermore, all resolved recent matches for Uganda saw at least two total goals scored, including scorelines of 1-3, 1-1, and 1-3.

Tunisia or Draw — 76% confidence

Tunisia have won both recorded head-to-head meetings with Uganda, including a 3-1 victory on home soil in December 2025. While recent friendly fixtures against top-tier global teams yielded defeats, Tunisia remain well-positioned on home turf to avoid defeat against a Ugandan side that has struggled for victories against top African opposition.

These two calls are about different parts of the match (total goals and double chance), so neither one determines the other. The figure shown is the lower of the two — a combo can never be more likely than its weaker leg.

Combo BetWON
Total Goals
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Confidence

Both historical meetings between Tunisia and Uganda produced at least two goals, finishing 3-1 and 2-0. Furthermore, all resolved recent matches for Uganda saw at least two total goals scored, including scorelines of 1-3, 1-1, and 1-3.

Combo BetWON
Double Chance
Tunisia or Draw
76%
Confidence

Tunisia have won both recorded head-to-head meetings with Uganda, including a 3-1 victory on home soil in December 2025. While recent friendly fixtures against top-tier global teams yielded defeats, Tunisia remain well-positioned on home turf to avoid defeat against a Ugandan side that has struggled for victories against top African opposition.

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Published September 23, 2026. Form, team news and table context refresh automatically.